Holy Looks Well For 2016 Grand National
Holy Looks Well For 2016 Grand National

UK Horse Racing

Holy Looks Well For 2016 Grand National

Posted February 16, 2016 | By Tim @ Betting Gods

The weights are out for the 2016 Grand National, and this year’s renewal looks a classy affair with last year’s winner Many Clouds, dual King George winner Siviniaco Conti, and the last two RSA Chase winners Don Poli and O’Faolins Boy possible runners. However, there are also looks to be plenty of classy runners lurking further down the weights – so here’s an analysis of some of the more fancied runners, and our idea of who’ll finish in the first 4.

Grand National
Many Clouds 12/1

Last year’s winner will have to carry just 1lb more than last year, though the fact he’s rated 5lb higher means he will have to concede more weight to some rivals. Every chance of doubling-up, but this year’s field does look classier than last year’s.

Don Poli 25/1

Last year’s RSA winner beat Many Clouds over 3-miles at Aintree earlier in the season, but he’s 4lb worse off here. More worrying will be the fact he’s likely to have a hard race in the Gold Cup first, and he’s performed poorly after Cheltenham for the last two years.

Siviniaco Conti 40/1

Bypassing the Gold Cup this year but, whilst that looks a good idea, he’s not sure to stay 4½ miles, and connections may choose to try for a hat-trick of Betfred Bowls instead.

O’Faolins Boy 50/1

Classy enough to beat Smad Place when winning the RSA, and he’s a better horse than Teaforthree who placed for trainer Rebecca Curtis. Looks over-priced, but inconsistent.

Triolo D’Alene 33/1

The 2013 Topham winner was pulled-up in the 2014 grand National, but is 2lb lower here and won well on his seasonal comeback.

Holywell 33/1

Last year’s Gold Cup fourth has been out of form so far this season, but good spring ground is what he loves. Beat none other than Don Cossack, Many Clouds and O’Faolins Boy here off level-weights in the 2014 Mildmay Novices Chase – and looks well-handicapped with 10-12 for trainer who has had a winner and a close second in the last few years.

Shutthefrontdoor 25/1

Fifth last year when the final Grand National mount of AP McCoy, and 5lb better off with Many Clouds, but that may not be enough.

Morning Assembley 50/1

This will be the first time he’s carried anything like 10-9, and a definite dark horse after finishing third in the 2014 RSA to O’Faolins Boy.

Unioniste 50/1

Fell last year when only 16/1, but looks to have been plotted-up in some style this time around. Carried 11-6 last year, but gets in with just 10-8 this time. He’s also a full-brother to previous winner Neptune Collonges.

Rule The World 50/1

Looks an obvious type after his second in last year’s Irish Grand National, and 10-7 is likely to be near the bottom of the weights this year. 36-furlongs on good ground could be right up his street, though the Irish National is also under consideration.

Just A Par 40/1

Struggled under big-weights against good horses before winning the Bet365 chase off a low-weight, and he could be in his element with just 10-6 in this.


Quite a few catch the eye but, with some classy horses set to carry below 11 stone, I think the winner will come from the bottom half of the weights this year. My idea of the first four home is:

1) Holywell 33/1

2) Unioniste 50/1

3) Just A Par 40/1

4) Morning Assembly 50/1

Published Under: UK Horse Racing /

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    Ok, let me say about Many clouds, yes a previous winner, 5lb more to carry, and you could argue has improved that, however since 1839, only 4 times has a horse won back to back, so the win odds are against you given the trends. So in effect your backing at current odds of 12/1 for win only is a good price, but stats and trends, plus the quality of the field NO THANK YOU, Bookmakers will take whatever bet you want on Many clouds, Why?, well one reason is the above, come the day many clouds will go off, 7/1 at best, all that money they took at 10/1, 12/1, Will be traded on the exchange for a huge profit, why fill their books?, so we move to EWAY, if places at 12/1, 1/4 odds, most firms first 4 at this price, EVEN money 2nd 3rd or 4th..well thats shocking if you take that, now im not saying he cant fill a place, alot have past winners have. If I was placing £100 around Many Clouds, 80/20 bet, £80 place on the exchanges, to be placed, £20 on the win with the high street. But my point is Many Clouds is not value for such a race when you drill down, there is far more value in the above selections, they are there to be followed or not, but at least its an opinion. I myself have a shortlist of 6, this weekend has a few entries involved in hurdle races and chases, I will put mine up next week, one thing is for sure they will be more of value than Many clouds. GL


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