Her Majesty’s Plate 2019 Preview [Free Tip Inside]
The 2019 Her Majesty’s Plate (Friday 26 July) is the highlight of the Magners Race Meeting at Down Royal Racecourse. This Listed Race is run over 14-furlongs and horses aged three and older are eligible to run in it. The race was established in 1996 and its most famous winner is Order Of St George, who went on to win the Ascot Gold Cup.
Check out our 10-year-trends, runner-by-runner guide, and free tip for Her Majesty’s Plate 2019.
Her Majesty’s Plate 10-Year-Trends
Favourites have an excellent record in the last 10 editions of Her Majesty’s Plate, with seven outright favourites and one co-favourite winning. The shortest priced winner was just 1/5, with the biggest priced outright favourite being only 5/4. The other three winners were returned at 2/1, 5/1, and 10/1.
None of the last 10 winners have been drawn higher than stall-five but weights carried in that period have varied from 8-10 to 9-9. Winners have been rated as low as 93 but the last six winners were all rated at least 102. 3-year-olds have won 50% of the last 10 renewals, with two 4-year-olds, two 5-year-olds, and one 6-year-old also being successful.
[wbcr_snippet id=”16312″ title=”Free Horse Racing Tips”]
Her Majesty’s Plate Runner-By-Runner Guide 2019
Trainer Joseph O’Brien rode two winners of Her Majesty’s Plate for his father Aidan, and he bids to win it for the first time as a trainer with his brother Donnacha in the saddle. However, the 98-rated 4-year-old looks to have a difficult job on his hands, as he is rated 12lb inferior to the highest-rated horse and must concede weight all-round after winning a weaker Listed race at Roscommon last time.
Ran some cracking races for Aidan O’Brien up until the Autumn of 2018 but he was then transferred to Doha-based trainer Ahmed Kobeissi. He ran six-times in Doha, finishing second twice, before being transferred back to Ireland in May to be trained by John Oxx. It’s hard to know what talent he retains, but he must have a chance of winning if he’s able to run up to his current rating of 105 after being with his current stable for just two months.
76-rated 4-year-old whose last win came on the all-weather at Wolverhampton for his former English-trainer Jim Boyle. Transferred to current trainer R K Watson after that but shouldn’t be winning this on ratings or the form of his last two runs in Ireland.
Jessica Harrington’s 4-year-old deserves to be a short-priced favourite, as he’s rated 110, but he doesn’t find winning easy. His only victory came in a Gowran Park maiden on his second start and he’s been beaten ten times since. Admittedly, most of those races were much harder than this, including when ninth of ten in the Curragh Cup last time, but he can’t be high on confidence.
5-year-old that won once as a 2-year-old, but he has struggled over a variety of trips since, including over two miles last time. His rating of 82 means he’s also two stone worse off than he would be in a handicap and he shouldn’t be troubling the judge.
English-trainer Sir Mark Prescott plundered this race back-to-back in 2004 and 2005 with two 4-year-olds and he’s been banging in plenty of winners in the last week in England after a quiet start to the season. She was a big improver throughout last season and, though she finished last on her seasonal debut in a Group 3 race, it’s interesting that Prescott tried her at that level when his horses were running poorly. She does have plenty of improvement to find but a first-time visor and the booking of top Irish Jockey Colin Keane suggests she might be capable of putting up a big show.
Won a bumper at Down Royal when considered a National Hunt horse but again ran well in second when making her flat debut here. She won again over today’s trip of 14-furlongs last time off a mark of 70 but that still leaves her with a mountain to climb to win this.
Her Majesty’s Plate Verdict 2019
This looks a weak Listed race, but a win for any of the lowly-rated trio of Noble Expression, Utah, or Tritonix would still be a big shock.
There must also be a major doubt as to whether John Oxx has worked his magic on Guiseppe Garibaldi in two months, with the former Aidan O’Brien-trained horse having raced in Doha six times before that.
Meanwhile, Downdraft must concede weight all-round, which should make it difficult for him unless the step-up in trip brings about some major improvement.
As favourites have a great record, the answer could be as simple as backing the top-rated The King, who should appreciate this drop-in-grade. However, he doesn’t look guaranteed to go through with his winning challenge at this trip, despite facing lower-class opposition.
That means it could be worth risking a small bet on Altra Vita, who is proven at the trip, comes out third best at the weights, and could find the necessary improvement to win a race of this nature now her stable has hit form. Her shrewd trainer Sir Mark Prescott would surely not be making the journey across the Irish Sea if he didn’t think she had a good chance of winning, and the first-time visor and booking of Colin Keane are further reasons for optimism.
[su_service title=”Free Tip For Her Majesty’s Plate 2019″ icon=”icon: tipeee” icon_color=”#FA6B03″ size=”30″]Altra Vita to win[/su_service]
[wbcr_php_snippet id=”16172″ title=”Three Top Tipsters”]