Last week’s two outright Golf betting tips, Tommy Fleetwood (2nd) and Shane Lowry (tied 6th), helped us to a small profit and both are very prominent in the betting for this week’s Portugal Masters, whilst the new PGA Tour season kicks-off with the Frys.com Open.
Whilst Lowry (previous winner) and Fleetwood have every chance of continuing their current runs of good form, I prefer another player at towards the front of the market this week, Berndt Wiesberger. The big Austrian has yet to hit the heights expected of him this year but his 4th and 3rd in this event in the last two years combines nicely with current form of 6/13/12/14 and he should challenge.
Berndt Wiesberger 16/1 each-way
Top-10 & Top-20 Markets
Although I was tempted to play Robert-Jan Derksen and Chris Doak each-way, their overall figures suggest that backing them to finish top-10 and top-20 might give us a better run for our money.
Derksen has finished in the top-20 on 6 of his 7 appearances here (one of which was a top-10) and he’s also finished 11th twice in his last three tournaments. Reportedly retiring at the end of the season, the Dutchman is playing with freedom, and should appear on the leaderboard at some point.
Meanwhile, Doak secured his playing privileges for next season with his 5th placed finish in last week’s Dunhill and, if his efforts have left him inspired rather than expired, he may well match his 8th placed finish of last season, which he managed after finishing 15th in the Dunhill.
Robert-Jan Derksen top-10 13/2, top-20 11/4
Chris Doak top-10 7/1, top-20 3/1
Also try a small each-way double on Derksen to be top-continental European at 25/1 and Doak to be top-Scot at 8/1
Each-way double: Derksen (top-continental European) 25/1 & Doak (top Scot) 8/1
A new PGA Tour season brings new dilemmas as it’s hard to gauge players’ motivations at such an early stage of the season, especially as it doesn’t count towards anything like the Ryder Cup, and many players have probably been taking it easy over the last few weeks. However, Brooks Koepka has been playing well on the European Tour recently, including 11th at last week’s Dunhill Links. He also finished 3rd in this event last year, is hungry for his first win on the senior tours, and is probably the best bet of the golfing week.
Brooks Koepka 28/1 each-way
Outright Each-Way Double
Each-way double: Weisberger 16/1 and Koepka 28/1