Four weeks of Fedex Cup fun starts on Thursday with the Barclays from Ridgewood Country Club, which also hosted the event in 2008 and 2010.
The first item to consider on the agenda this week (like most weeks) is whether you think Rory McIlroy will turn up with his ‘A game’ because, if he does, you just can’t rule him out. I am going to pass on him this week though as, because he’s leading the Fedex Cup standings, he can finish down the field here and still win the overall competition by winning the final Tour Championship as Henrik Stenson did last year.
Horses For Courses
I’ve used several angles to make up this week’s staking plan starting with the horses for courses theory which throws up a 100/1 selection in the shape of Kevin Streelman. 4th in 2008 and 3rd in 2010 shows that Streelman plays the course well and, as his grandparents are buried in the cemetery next to the golf club, I’m sure he dreams about tipping his cap in their direction after claiming victory here. Done nothing since winning the Travellers in June but is sure to be trying hard.
Kevin Streelman 1 point each-way 100/1
Both Jordan Spieth (50/1) and Martin Kaymer (80/1) look massively overpriced this week, but whilst Kaymer may be happy with his Major winning season – Spieth is likely to be hungry for his second PGA Tour victory after going over a year since his last one. Poor form at Firestone and Valhalla is easy to overlook and, as he’s already 8th in the standings, I expect maximum effort from the young man with a big future.
Jordan Spieth 1 point each-way 50/1
If there’s a player trending towards victory it has to be Brandt Snedeker (35/1) who has finished 12/13/5 in his last three events. Recent lessons with Butch Harmon seem to have rekindled his fire and he’s already won the Fedex Cup series once. Also posted a 2nd and a 3rd in the Barclays (be them on different courses).
Brandt Snedeker 1.5 points each-way
Point To Prove
Patrick Reed may have made one almighty rick by stating he was a top-5 player but his dip in form after saying it can be put down more to the birth of his first child. He’s part of a select group who have won three times on the PGA Tour by the age of 24 and I’m sure it won’t be long before he makes it four times. Fourth in the WGC Bridgestone three weeks ago, after two non-contending weeks (though made both cuts) he amazingly finds himself a 100/1 shot again.
Patrick Reed 1 point each-way 100/1
Top 20 Bets
Paul Casey (4/1) finished 7th in 2008 and 12th in 2009, whilst John Senden (11/2) finished 31st in 2008 and 15th in 2010. Both have played some solid golf this year and look sporting bets to play well without contending. Casey especially will need a big week to make sure of progressing to next week’s second stage when the field is reduced to the top 100 players in the rankings.
Paul Casey 3 points top-20 finish 4/1
John Senden 2 points top-20 finish 11/2