Deutsche Bank Championship & Open D’Italia Preview
Deutsche Bank Championship
The Deutsche Bank Championship has been hosted by TPC Boston since 2003 and it’s an event in which players at the head of the betting have prevailed 9 years out of 11, including Adam Scott, Vijay Singh (twice), Tiger Woods, Phil Mickleson, Steve Stricker, Webb Simpson, Rory McIlroy and Henrik Stenson.
It’s not hard to see previous winners McIlroy (9/2), Scott (12/1) or Stenson (18/1) dominating proceedings again, whilst Jason Day (16/1), second and third here in 2010 and 2011, could easily lift the trophy. Further down the betting, both Mickleson (28/1) and Snedeker (40/1) have decent course form and could post a challenge. However, with those at the head of the betting not offering much value, investments in the top-10 and top-20 markets could give us a better run for our money this week.
Kevin Stadler top-10 10/1 top-20 4/1
Having claimed his PGA Tour maiden title this year, the big man has found a new level of confidence. He’s also the type of birdie-machine suited to TPC Boston and has finished 10th and 4th the last two years.
Camillo Villegas top-10 12/1 top-20 9/2
The Colombian plucked a win from nowhere two weeks ago, but has previously shown his liking for the Fedex Cup play-offs by winning the final two events in 2008. Finished 9th and 3rd here in 2007 and 2008, and he might just be about to kick-start his once promising career again at the age of 32.
John Senden top-10 11/1 top-20 3/1
Another who claimed a long overdue win on the PGA Tour this season, and posted solid figures of 11/8/21/12 from 2009 to 2012 in this event.
Geoff Ogilvy top-10 16/1 top-20 11/2
The former US Open winner won the low-key Reno Tahoe Open recently; but that modified Stableford format showed he’s capable of making plenty of birdies when he needs to. Four top-10s here in the last decade shows that he also likes the track.
The Golf Club Torino plays host for the second successive year and last year’s form is the major consideration for three of our four selections this week.
Emiliano Grillo 66/1
The young Argentinean hasn’t been as successful as I’d hope this season, but this isn’t the time to give up on him. 4th here last year shows the track suits and he could well make a bold bid for his maiden European Tour victory.
Steve Webster 80/1
His second here last year started an end-of-season run of form that saw him keep his tour card, and he’ll need something similar again to get into the Race To Dubai season finale. 75th last week might not look great on paper, but a closing 82 ruined his week after he’d made more than enough birdies to contend.
Hennie Otto 80/1
Hit the top-10 in the event a few times including 8th last year, and last week’s 39th position was a big-step up on his recent form, suggesting he’ll be making a big effort this week.
Kristopher Broberg 50/1
No course form to speak of but he has to be the most improved player on tour. After a great run of form he went off at only 22/1 for the Made in Denmark two weeks ago – and 50/1 looks a bit of an insult this week in what is only an average field.