The Earth Course, Jumeirah Golf Estates, Dubai stages the 6th DP World Tour Championship this week and, whilst the last two have gone to the form horses, we’ve got some value golf betting tips with which to take on this year’s favourites.
Last year, it was a privilege to watch Henrik Stenson play a level of golf rarely seen anywhere on the planet as he took the field apart by six shots, whilst the year before it was Rory McIlroy who prevailed by two strokes from fellow Ryder Cupper Justin Rose.
McIlroy and Stenson head the market at 5/1 and 9/1 respectively this year, but it’s hard to make a convincing case in regard to value for either of them. McIlroy returns from three weeks in court, which surely can’t be the best preparation for a golf tournament, whilst he also has the overall Race to Dubai already in the bag. Meanwhile Stenson, despite playing some good golf of late, is not quite in as good a form as last year and may just succumb to someone with a little more motivation.
Value-wise, three players standout at the prices this week:
Charl Schwartzel (50/1)
Schwartzel missed last year’s tournament but had previously finished 5th and 3rd and, whilst his recent form is nothing to get excited about, he’ll be keen to hit peak form with a run of South African tournaments coming up.
Luke Donald (55/1)
Luke Donald has admitted that missing the Ryder Cup has given his a kick up the backside, and it may well be that a return to a course where his form figures read 9/3/3/5 sees him get competitive for the first time in a while. Six of his last eight rounds here have been five-under par or better and, if he can string four rounds together like that, he’ll definitely be up there come Sunday. He also shot the second best weekend at last week’s Turkish Airlines Open , despite only finishing in 32nd place.
Joost Luiten (40/1)
Luiten was the only player who matched Stenson over the weekend last year, shooting -13 under par, and only an opening round of 73 stopped him challenging for the title. He’s certainly good enough, won only a few weeks ago in Wales, and finished with a round of 67 last week to warm up nicely for this.
Two old-timers complete the staking plan this week in the shape of Miguel Angel Jimenez and Thongchai Jaidee – and both are fancied to post a top-10 finish.
It hard to believe the colourful Jimenez is a fully paid up member of the Champions Tour and, whilst a few people think he should be mopping up those over-50s events, his 4th in last week’s Turkish Airlines Open shows he’s still got plenty to offer the European Tour. Two top-10s in his last five appearances here, combined with his current form, makes 15/2 look tasty.
Thongchai Jaidee might only have a few years to go until he reaches 50 but that’s not stopped him having one of his best years on tour, including a play-off victory over Henrik Stenson in Sweden. He’s also posted two top-10s on his last three visits here – and 13/2 looks well worth an investment.
1 point each-way Charl Schwartzel @ 50/1
1 point each-way Luke Donald @ 55/1
1 point each-way Joost Luiten @ 40/1
2 points Miguel Angel Jimenez @ 15/2
2 points Thongchai Jaidee @ 13/2