The Ganton Stakes 2019 Analysis [Plus FREE Tip]
The 2019 Ganton Stakes (Friday 14 June, 4.05) is a Listed Race run over 7 furlongs and 192 yards at York Racecourse. Horses aged three and older are eligible to run in it and, since its inception in 2012, it has been won by the likes of Top Notch Tonto, Tullius, and Sovereign Debt.
Check out our trends, runner-by-runner guide, and free tips for the Ganton Stakes 2019.
Ganton Stakes Trends
The seven winners of the Ganton Stakes have been as young as three and as old as nine, with five-year-olds enjoying the most success with three winners. The seven winners have either been drawn in stalls one, two, or five.
Winners have carried as low as 8-6 to victory and as high as 9-10, with four winners carrying 9-7. Only two winners had won their last race but six of the seven had finished in the first four on their previous start. Six of those seven winners had enjoyed a run between 13 and 77 days earlier, with just one winner making its seasonal debut.
The first ever winner of the Ganton Stakes was returned at 8/13, but the six subsequent winners have been returned at odds ranging from 2/1 to 7/1. No trainer or jockey has won the race more than once.
[wbcr_snippet id=”16312″ title=”Free Horse Racing Tips”]
Ganton Stakes Runner-By-Runner Guide 2019
Four-year-old that has won three of six starts so far including a Listed Race over course and distance last season. He won that race in style by 4½ lengths, but no other horse in the race was rated over 100 that day, and he faces much high-rated rivals here. He also needs to concede 3lb and upwards to all of his rivals, whilst only the inaugural winner Tullius has won carrying 9-10 and that was in a three-runner race. He did run okay on soft ground on the one occasion he’s run on it so far, but he finished last on his seasonal debut, be it in a stronger race than this.
Oh This Is Us
Six-year-old who has won two of the seven Listed Races he’s contested, and he’s run two excellent races on his last two starts to finish second to Bye Bye Hong Kong and Zaaki. Rated 4lb behind the top-rated runner but is likely to be fighting out the finish providing the ground doesn’t get too soft.
115-rated five-year-old that did his connections proud last year with three groups race wins, two at group 2 level. On that form, he deserves to be favourite, but there’s a big doubt as to whether he will be at his best at today’s trip, with all his wins coming at six and seven furlongs. He’s also done all his winning on ground described as good or good-to-firm and there has to be a doubt about his ability to run up to his best over 7 furlongs and 192 yards on softer than ideal ground.
Three-year-old that has won on good-to-soft and soft ground and, though he hasn’t raced over this far, he looks well worth a try over this trip after looking outpaced in a strong-looking Listed Race at Haydock last time. The form of that race has proved very strong, with the winner winning a Group 3 next time, whilst the horse that finished fourth behind Happy Power that day filled the runner-up spot behind the winner next time.
The enigma of this race, as the form of his debut win would give him a chance, but he’s run no sort of race in either start since. Admittedly, he was asked a big question in group one company on his second start but, whilst that can be forgiven, he also ran poorly on his seasonal debut. It may be that we won’t see the best of his until later in the season, as he didn’t come to hand until September last season, and it’s hard to recommend him here with his stable yet to hit top-form.
Ganton Stakes Summary 2019
An intriguing race in which none of the five runners can be completely ruled out, but Wadilsafa and Raakib Alhawa must bounce back from poor runs last time. Sir Dancelot can be forgiven his midfield run in the Group 1 Lockinge Stakes but he could be vulnerable over today’s trip with cut in the ground. Oh This Is Us may also not like the ground, but he should relish the trip.
That’s why it looks worth taking a chance on Happy Power, who could appreciate the step up in trip and is proven on soft ground. The form of his third place in his last race also looks much better than it did at the time. Despite that fact three-year-olds have only won two editions of this race, it’s also worth noting that only five three-year-olds have ever run it, and they’ve won two of the three editions they’ve contested.
[su_service title=”Free Tip For The 2019 Ganton Stakes” icon=”icon: tipeee” icon_color=”#FA6B03″ size=”30″]
Happy Power @ 3.25 Bet365, SkyBet, WilliamHill[/su_service]
[wbcr_php_snippet id=”16172″ title=”Three Top Tipsters”]