Free Tips For The Portugal Masters 2019
Published on 21/10/19
Portugal Masters 2019 Analysis
24th to 27th October
This week’s European Tour golf features the Portugal Masters (Oct 24-27) and the event is normally a real birdie-fest. But the chances of anyone repeating Oliver Fisher’s amazing 59 last year have been reduced as the Dom Pedro Victoria Golf Course has been toughened-up a little since last year.
This will be the 12th successive year that the Dom Pedro Victoria Course has staged the Portugal Masters, meaning there’s a fair bit of course form to look through. This week’s event is also the last chance for players to secure one of the spots that will guarantee their full playing rights for next season, just as Nicolas Colsaerts did with his shock win in the Open de France last week.
The Dom Pedro Victoria Golf Course was designed by the late Arnold Palmer and it is a Par 71 measuring just under 7,200 yards. The fairways and rough are Bermuda grass, whilst the greens are a mix of Bentgrass and Poa that traditionally run at around 10.5 on the stimpmeter.
The winner of the 2019 Portugal Masters will probably need to be aggressive this week and recent winners have had the ability to find plenty of greens in regulation. Seven of the holes feature water hazards and avoiding these and several strategically placed bunkers is paramount in building a good score.
The main change since last year has been the addition of some new trees, which have been planted with the intention of some of the bigger hitters taking the ball over the corner of some of the holes.
Matt Wallace heads the betting this week at around 11/1 and the world number 29 deserves his place as the favourite as he’s ranked 17 places and above higher than any of his rivals. A win would also see him close the gap on his Race to Dubai rivals and move him a place into fourth in the standings ahead of the absent Matt Fitzpatrick. The problem with backing Wallace this week, despite some good recent form, is he’s finished 39th and 44th on his previous two visits.
Martin Kaymer is second favourite with most bookies but, despite needing another good finish to guarantee playing in the end of season events, he’s only managed a couple of top-8 finishes here, and he was a better player then.
It’s easier to make a case for Eddie Pepperrell, who has finished second and third in his last Portugal Masters, but the moody Englishman has looked out of love with the game in recent weeks. It’s a similar story with Lucas Bjerregaard, who has posted four top-20s here but is not enjoying a great season.
That means the first of our Portugal Masters Free Tips is Tom Lewis. He could easily miss the cut if he’s not on a going week, but he’s already won this event twice and has posted a first and a fifth in his last six events. However, he’s currently ranked at number 60 in the world and a win here could just sneak him into the world’s top-50 with a view to playing in all the big events next year.
George Coetzee is another player that often repeats his form at courses he’s gone well at in the past, and he’s never been out of the top-31 here. He’s three times finished in the top-7 and, as he also finished third last week, he deserves to be the second of our free tips for the Portugal Masters.
I also fancy Chris Paisley to be fully tuned in this week as he bids to break into the top-70 in the Race To Dubai standings. He was another player that found some form in the Open de France last week and, after missing last year’s Portugal Masters, he returns having finished fifth and 12th on his last two visits to the Dom Pedro Victoria Golf Course.
Alex Levy is also given another chance, as the Frenchman has won multiple European Tour Titles but finds himself in 122nd place on the Race to Dubai. His recent sessions with Sean Foley have yet to bear much fruit but, as he won here in 2014, his new swing could just click into place at a course he has fond memories of.
Finally, Portuguese player Richard Gouveia may need a Colsaerts-like miracle to secure full playing rights for next year, but he couldn’t ask for a more friendly course to try and gain them at. He’s finished fifth and seventh the last two years and could reward each-way support at a big price.