Ladbrokes Long Distance Hurdle 2019 Analysis
15:00 at Newbury on 29th November
The beauty of the National Hunt game is the three horses that have won the last four editions of this contest are all back to try their luck this year.
Thistlecrack won the 2015 renewal and he went on to win the King George Chase in 2016. That was his last win and, despite running some excellent races in defeat since, it’s asking a lot of him to become the first 11-year-old to win the race in its 30-year history, even if he does get 6lb from three of his rivals.
Unowwhatimeanharry is also an 11-year-old, but he did become the first 10-year-old to win the race last year, whilst he also won the race in 2016, and was second in 2017. He didn’t have a penalty to carry last year, so 6lb and an extra year older are two reasons why he may struggle.
The World’s End is still young enough at 8 to be improving, but he was getting 6lb from Unowhatomeanharry when beating the old boy on their seasonal debut at Wetherby. His stable was also in red-hot form that week but hasn’t been as hot recently.
Beer Goggles was a well-punted winner of this race in 2017, but it will be a remarkable training performance if he emerges triumphant after 671 days off the track. But he is two from two over the course and distance and, just like in 2017, he gets weight from most of his rivals.