The third and final day of the Cambridgeshire Meeting (Saturday 28 September) is called Juddmonte Day. It has three brilliant highlights which are the Group 2 Royal Lodge Stakes, Group 1 Cheveley Park Stakes, and the Group 1 Middle Park Stakes.
Royal Lodge Stakes 2019 Analysis
13:50 at Newmarket on 28th September
The Group 2 Royal Lodge Stakes is run over a mile and is restricted to two-year-olds. Eight of the last 10 winners were returned at 11/4 or shorter but those winners were bookended by 8/1 and 12/1 winners. Eight winners had also had their previous race between 11 and 25 days earlier, whilst seven winners had also had two previous runs, with no winner having more than four runs. Aidan O’Brien has won three of the last 10 editions.
O’Brien has three possible runners this year, but all have had at least three runs, though it’s worth pointing out his last winner had run four times. But this year’s three runners all look beatable having won just once each. Surf Dancer and Pyledriver have run three times and, though they’ve both won twice, another significant step forward looks required.
The other three horses have all run twice but Sound Of Cannons was beaten by Pyledriver last time. Highland Chief is interesting on his 4½ length third to Pinutabo but Charlie Appleby’s star 2-year-old has improved massively since.
Cheveley Park Stakes 2019 Analysis
14:25 at Newmarket on 28th September
This Group 1 race is run over 6 furlongs and is restricted to 2-year-old fillies. Seven of the last 10 winners had run at least four times, with two having had three runs, and the other two. Nine winners were returned at no bigger than 6/1 but Brave Anna was a 25/1 shocker three years ago. That was despite being trained by Aidan O’Brien who has now won the last three editions.
O’Brien has two runners entered this year, but the experienced Tango needs to find 10lb with the top-rated horse. The once-raced Etoile is in the could be anything category, but winners are normally more experienced.
Raffle Prize is the obvious one having won at Royal Ascot and Newmarket’s July Meeting, but she was beaten in France last time by Earthlight, who is trained by Andre Fabre.
Middle Park Stakes 2019 Analysis
15:00 at Newmarket on 28th September
This Group 1 race is run over 6 furlongs and is restricted to 2-year-olds. Ten Sovereigns landed odds-on last year to give Aidan O’Brien his third winner in eight years but there have been plenty of shock winners including ones at 22/1, 25/1, and 25/1 in the last eight years. Eight winners had won their previous race, which had come between 13 and 55 days earlier.
The 2019 Middle Park Stakes looks potentially the best edition for many years, and it will be disappointing if either Earthlight, Siskin, Threat or Mum’s Tipple doesn’t prove a cut above the opposition.
It could be a good day for Andre Fabre who trains Earthlight and his form could receive a boost if Raffle Prize wins the Cheveley Park.
Siskin could also prove himself the leading Irish-trained 2-year-old colt by taking his winning streak to five, but the horses that finished behind him have yet to significantly boost his form.
Threat won the Champagne Stakes at Doncaster last time over 7 furlongs, so it’s debatable as to whether this step back in distance is ideal.