Thursday 26 September is day one of Newmarket’s Cambridgeshire Meeting. The highlights are the Group 3 Tattersalls Stakes and the Listed Jockey Club Rose Bowl Stakes, but even these high-class contests are only appetizers for two bigger days of racing ahead.
Check out our stats, analysis, and Cambridgeshire Meeting Day One Free Tips.
Tattersalls Stakes 2019 Analysis
15:35 at Newmarket on 26th September
The Tattersalls Stakes is a Group 3 run over 7 furlongs that is restricted to 2-year-olds. Past winners have included Elarqam, who was the second shortest-priced winner in the last decade at 11/8. But the race has produced its fair share of shocks in that period with winners at 25/1 and 33/1.
The last 10 editions have contained between six and nine runners and the winners had emerged from stall seven on five occasions, with three winners berthed in stall-five, and two in stall-two.
Nine winners had run between 12 and 23 days prior to their success, with the other absent from the track for 35 days. Eight winners had run at least three times but two of the last three winners had only run either once or twice.
The Hannon stable has trained four of the last 10 winners but it’s Mark Johnston who is looking for a hat-trick this year after saddling the last two winners.
Mark Johnston saddles Monoski this year but he’s earned his mark of 101 by finishing well-beaten in the Group 1 National Stakes last time. He was struggling in handicaps before that and doesn’t look an obvious winner. The Richard Hannon pair Manigordo and Oh Purple Reign also have a bit to find on their fourth and tenth runs.
Despite being drawn in stall-7, Ropey Guest has also wasted easier chances to break his duck. Persuasion blotted his copybook in the Acomb last time and was a big price when he won at Glorious Goodwood. He could still be a good colt but his stable isn’t in the best of form.
Jockey Club Rose Bowl Stakes 2019 Analysis
16:10 at Newmarket on 26th September
The Jockey Club Rose Bowl Stakes is a Listed race run over two miles that is open to horses aged three and older.
Horses aged between five and eight have won seven of the last 10 editions. Winners in the last decade have been returned at 12/1 and 16/1, but seven were returned at no bigger than 9/2. The winners have also won on the back of a variety of lengths of breaks.
The handicapper Platitude looks the least likely winner. But there are two interesting 4-year-olds in Hasanabad and Sevenna Star. It will be interesting to see if Ian Williams can get more out of Hasanabad on his first start for him than previous trainer Dermot Weld, but it’s difficult to Sevenna Star returning to his Sandown Classis Trail winning form judged on his last two runs.
Austrian School is entitled to go close on the form of his best runs this season, but he’s rated 4lb lower than Withhold and isn’t proven at Newmarket.