The Bet365 Gold Cup (Saturday 27 April) is a handicap chase run over a distance of 3 miles 4 furlongs and 166 yards at Sandown. It was first run in 1957 as the Whitbread Gold Cup but it has been sponsored by Bet365 since 2008.
Notable winners of the race include Arkle, Mill House, Desert Orchid, Mr Frisk, Docklands Express, and Tidal Bay. Check out our trends, analysis, and free tips for the Bet365 Gold Cup.
Bet365 Gold Cup 10-Year-Trends
The last ten editions of the Bet365 Gold Cup have been won by one 7-year-old, four 8-year-olds, two 9-year-olds, and two 11-year-olds.
Nine of the last 10 winners have carried between 10-0 and 11-1, with only the Cheltenham Gold Cup class Tidal Bay able to carry 11-12 to victory. He was rated 154, whilst the lowest-rated winner in the last decade was rated just 126. The other eight winners were rated between 132 and 148.
All 10 winners had run between seven and 56 days prior to their success in the race, but only two winners had won their previous start.
SP’s of the last 10 winners have ranged from 13/2 to 40/1, with just four of those winners returned at single-figure prices.
Paul Nicholls is the only trainer two have trained two of the last 10 winners, whilst jockey Sean Bowen has ridden two of the last four winners.
Bet365 Gold Cup 2019 Analysis
Top-weight Beware The Bear sidestepped the Scottish Grand National for this but the statistics suggest he has a mammoth task on his hand off a mark of 160. That’s 6lbs higher than Tidal Bay was rated but he doesn’t have Grade 1 form like he did.
The next four horses in the weights Yala Enki, Rock The Kasbah, Present Man, and Adrien De Pont are also rated higher and have more weight to carry than any of the other nine winners in the last decade.
Surprisingly, the remainder of the field would all be decent stats-fits, so here’s our runner-by-runner guide.
Bet356 Gold Cup Runner-By-Runner Guide
Last year’s Scottish Grand National ran in this year’s Grand National three weeks ago and, though other Bet365 Gold Cup winners have done that, it’s still asking a lot of him off a 10lb higher mark than he last won off.
Last year’s winner of this race was also pulled-up in this year’s Grand National and, whilst he carried 10-0 off a mark of 135 last year, he must carry 10-11 off a mark of 145 this year. Has at least proven he likes the course and distance.
Late defector from this year’s Scottish Grand National, which suggests connections think he has the stamina required to win a race like this. He also looks reasonably handicapped on his novice form behind the likes of La Bague Au Roi.
Ran well when second over a similar trip last time but neither that form or his other form suggests he’ll be a player in this stronger race. Has also run below form on both previous visits to Sandown.
Vyta Du Roc
Ran poorly before an unlucky second in the 2017 edition of this race off 137 and won in 2018 off 138. He again needs to bounce back from a poor reason so far and, whilst that’s possible, he is six pounds higher than when second. Visor applied for the first time is an interesting move.
Give Me A Copper
Highly-regarded sort from the Paul Nicholls stable that has been well-backed in the ante-post markets before his two runs this season only for his price to drift on the day on both occasions. His form in finishing just in front of Rolling Dylan here two starts ago probably isn’t strong enough but, as he had an entry in the Grand National, there’s a chance he could improve for the step-up in trip.
The Young Master
Won the 2016 edition off a mark of 148 and, though he has been unplaced in two subsequent renewals, he has generally been in great form this season. The handicapper left his mark untouched for finishing third at the Cheltenham Festival and he could run a massive race of 142.
Rated in the 150’s over hurdles and, though he’s yet to prove as good over fences, he’s only rated 141 in this sphere. Jockey Jonjo O’Neill Jnr takes off another 3lb and he’s won on three of his last five rides for the Tizzard stable.
Former grade 1 winner that isn’t as good as he was and he also looks a doubtful stayer at this trip.
It’s interesting that he won on his only previous visit to Sandown but would prefer softer ground and isn’t generally up to this class.
Often outruns his odds but doubt he can win this off his current mark.
Just A Sting
Sent off at slightly shorter odds that The Young Master at the Cheltenham Festival, which suggests he could still have a big race in him despite finishing seven-lengths behind that horse there. Step up in trip could suit.
Stable going well but he also finished behind The Young Master last time and has looked to get outstayed over shorter trips in all his runs this season.
Pulled up in last year’s renewal and, though he’s a three-time course winner, he’s likely to be outclassed.
Loves Sandown but has been pulled up twice in this race. Could run well but it’s asking a lot of the old boy to compete against some younger horses.
Bet365 Gold Cup 2019 Verdict
No horse sticks out as a firm favourite this year but, after returning to form, The Young Master can’t be left out of the staking plan off a lower-mark than the one he won this race off in 2016.
The horse that could be a handicap snip is West Approach and he also looks worth backing at a bigger price.