Free Tips For The Australian PGA Championship 2019
Published on 16/12/19
Australian PGA Championship 2019 Analysis
19th - 22nd December
The 2019 Australian PGA Championship is the final European Tour event of the season. But it’s not all bad news for punters, as the event once more returns to the Royal Pines Resort for what is the seventh consecutive time.
The Australian PGA Championship was established in 1905 and it was a matchplay event until 1963. However, with the exception of one year since 1964, it has been a 72-hole strokeplay event. In 2015, it became a co-sanctioned event with the European Tour and the winner of the Australian PGA Championship is awarded the Joe Kirkwood Cup.
The Royal Pines Resort is in Queensland and the first four Australian PGA Championship winners to be crowned there were Adam Scott, Greg Chalmers, Nathan Holmes, and Harold Varner III. But it’s Cameron Smith that lines up this year seeking a hat-trick in the event after taking the title in both 2017 and 2018.
The only player to have notched-up a hat-trick in the event is Dan Soutar, with the Scotsman winning the first three editions of the tournament between 1905 and 1907.
The different winners at the Royal Pines Resort suggest that this near 7,400 yards par 72 is conquerable by all sorts of players. Scott and Varner can certainly get it out there with the best of them, but Chalmers and Smith are better known for their short game wizardry.
Royal Pines is part of Australia’s Sunshine Coast and is a 45-mile drive from Brisbane. One of Australia’s best-ever golfers Graham Marsh gave the course an overhaul between the 2014 and 2015 events, and the course now features water on 13 holes. The course itself is fairly flat, but the green complexes are cleverly contoured.
For the most part, players this week should be able to bask in pleasant temperatures in the mid 70s, though there’s always a chance of a bit of rain.
But this year’s players are hard to weigh-up for punters looking to have a bet in the event. Adam Scott is the favourite or joint-favourite with most bookmakers. Scott has finished first, second, and third in just four visits to Royal Pines but missed the cut when last here in 2017.
He played alright at last week’s Presidents Cup and, at number 18 in the world, his “A” game is in a different league to most of his rivals. Scott’s model good-looks means he always gets plenty of press coverage in his home country, but he may just go under the radar a bit this week with his fellow countryman Smith bidding for a hat-trick.
Cameron Smith is joint-favourite of second favourite with most bookies, and it’s no wonder the bookies aren’t taking any chances on him after his last two wins. But, despite Justin Thomas gifting him their singles match last week, he wasn’t in great form at the President’s Cup. Matt Fitzpatrick also showed earlier in the season at the Omega European Masters just how hard it is to win the same European Tour event in three consecutive years.
That’s why it’s tempting to leave both of the big-named Aussies out of the betting plan this week and make Jason Scrivener the first of our Australian PGA Championship free tips.
Scrivener had posted three top-18 finishes at Royal Pines before last season, but took another step forward to finish sixth last year. He’s also shown some really good form in better-company recently at the Nedbank Golf Challenge and the DP World Tour Championship. He’s not a prolific winner, but won’t play in many weaker fields than this one, so he appeals as the best each-way bet towards the head of the market.
Cameron Champ is an interesting entry, and he’ll be looking to become the second American winner at Royal Pines after Harold Varner III. But this is his tournament debut and it remains to be seen whether one of the longest-hitters on the PGA Tour can overpower a course with so much water on it.
That’s why the second of this week’s free tips for the Australian PGA Tour is Calum Hill. The Scot played some wonderful golf at the Mauritius Open when last seen and he looks to have made a seamless transition from the Challenge Tour, where he won three-times. He looks a European Tour winner waiting to happen and, if the main market fancies don’t fire this week, he could be the one to pick up the pieces.