The 2,000 Guineas (Saturday 4 May) is the first Classic of the turf season in England and it takes place on the Rowley Mile at Newmarket. It was first run in 1809 and, as you’d expect, its role of honour is packed full of equine stars. Popular horses to have won it in the 21st century include Sea The Stars and Frankel, two horses that went on to plunder many more Group 1 Races before they retired.
Read our trends, runner-by-runner guide, and free tips for the 2,000 Guineas 2019.
2,000 Guineas 10-Year-Trends
There have been six Irish-trained winners, three English-trained winners, and one French-trained winner in the last decade, and nine of these had achieved a rating of between 109 and 126 before running in the race.
All 10 runners had run between two and six times prior to their success in the race, with eight of the winners having won their previous race. Five winners were also keeping their unbeaten record intact, whilst only one winner had been beaten more than once.
Seven runners won on their seasonal reappearance, whilst two enjoyed a prep-race in the Greenham Stakes, and the other in France. Three winners were drawn in stall-one and two in stall-three, whilst the others were drawn six, nine, 12, 15, and 16.
Seven winners were returned at odds of 8/1 or less, but the other three were returned at 14/1, 33/1, and 40/1. Aidan O’Brien has trained four of the last seven winners, two of which were ridden by Ryan Moore.
2,000 Guineas Runner-By-Runner Guide 2019
Won three of his five races last season and, whilst he only just won them, the form of his two defeats behind Calyx and Too Darn Hot also looks good form. Connections have booked Frankie Dettori but, though he wouldn’t be a shock winner, he has already been beaten twice.
Unbeaten in two runs in a maiden and a Listed Race but needs to improve markedly on that form to win here. However, he’s beautifully bred and he can’t be dismissed for the ever-improving stable of Charlie Appleby.
John Gosden-trained runner that has been beaten in three of his four runs so far and, having achieved a mark of just 104, he’s an unlikely winner.
Looked a colt of some potential when notching his hat-trick in a Group 2 at Glorious Goodwood last season. However, he didn’t look at home on a straight track at Doncaster on his next start and has been beaten again since at a lower-level.
Another Group 2 winning two-year-old, but he was well-beaten by Ten Sovereigns on his final start last year. Pedigree suggests he could be suited to stepping up to a mile for the first time.
Only won three of his six starts so far and, though he ran creditably when second in the Greenham Stakes (as did 2014 winner Night of Thunder), he has been beaten by both Al Hilalee and Magna Grecia.
Another dart thrown by John Gosden in the absence of Too Dar Hot but, whilst he won the Fielden Stakes impressively over nine-furlongs, he was beaten at this trip by Magna Grecia at Group 1 level last season.
King Of Change
Won last time but rated just 92 and up against it.
Irish-trained runner that started his career with a big reputation and two wins. Slightly dented that reputation by coming second in his prep run but he probably wasn’t suited by soft-ground that day. Looks the type to be suited by this sort of test and has an interesting draw in stall-one.
Aidan O’Brien-trained whose two-year-old from looks rock-solid and, having and just three runs, he should make up into a better three-year-old. The slight worry is that Ryan Moore rides his stablemate, but today’s jockey rode him the last twice he ran last year, and he won last year’s 2,000 Guineas.
Outran his odds on his seasonal reappearance when finishing second in the Craven but, having got outpaced at a crucial stage there, he could be taken off his feet in what is likely to be a faster run race.
Name The Wind
Hard to get a handle on after two wins from two runs on the all-weather, but that’s an unusual prep for a 2,000 Guineas winner and he’s rated just 99.
Probably flattered to win a Group 1 at the Arc Meeting on soft ground and looks to have had his limitations exposed on his last two starts unless a first-time hood triggers more improvement.
Won his first two races and wasn’t disgraced when third behind two of today’s rivals in the Craven Stakes. Didn’t appear to like the dip at Newmarket that day but a first-time tongue-tie could help his cause.
Shine So Bright
Well-backed winner on his seasonal reappearance but was beaten four-times last season, including when behind Advertise and Emaraty Ana.
Bidding to become the first Craven Stakes winner to win the 2,000 Guineas since 2004, but he’s impressed when winning both starts here at Newmarket. Showed real class on both occasions to extricate himself from pockets and then quicken up to win and could be ideally suited by a fast run race.
Won four of his 12 races but has failed to reach a standard that implies he’ll live up to his name.
Well-backed before winning all three of his races and oozes speed. Probable winner if his stamina lasts out under Ryan Moore but he might be a sprinter.
Won both races as a two-year-old but his third in the Greenham on his seasonal reappearance doesn’t suggest he’ll win this.
2,000 Guineas Verdict 2019
The gut-feeling is that this year’s 2,000 Guineas may lack a real star. Aidan O’Brien could easily notch up his tenth winner in the race with Magna Grecia or Ten Sovereigns and, as they are drawn on opposite sides, he could have all the angles covered.
Advertise has also come in for each-way support this week but I prefer the untapped qualities of Al Hilalee, Madhmoon, and Skardu. The last two are just preferred as they’re drawn in stalls one and three and I’m happy to back them both each-way at the prices.