The 1,000 Guineas (Sunday 5 May) is the first fillies Classic of the season and it takes place on Newmarket’s Rowley Mile. It was first run in 1814 and high-profile winners this century have included Attraction, Minding, and Winter, who all went onto enjoy more Group 1 success.
Read our trends, runner-by-runner guide, and free tips for the 1,000 Guineas 2019.
1,000 Guineas 10-Year-Trends
The last seven winners had all had at least four previous runs and all seven had been beaten at least twice. Four of the last six winners had also failed to win last time out.
Six of the last seven winners had enjoyed the benefit of a prep race between seven and 31 days prior to their success in the race. Winners were drawn between stalls two and 13, but five of the last nine winners, including the last three, have been drawn in either stalls seven or eight.
Aidan O’Brien has trained three of the last seven winners and Richard Hannon two. Ryan Moore has ridden three of the last seven winners.
The shortest-priced winner was 11/10, but four of the last nine winners were returned at odds of 16/1, 20/1, 25/1, and 66/1.
1,000 Guineas Runner-By-Runner Guide 2019
Experienced filly who has finished behind Mot Juste on her last two runs as well as Qabala last time. She was slowly away on that occasion, and could be suited by stepping up to a mile for the first time, but she needs to improve for the extra distance.
Ran a decent race when winning on her seasonal reappearance and looked like she could benefit from today’s trip then. However, she was beaten on all of her three runs at Newmarket last season.
Winner of four of her five races last season but didn’t have much to spare when winning a Group 1 here on her last start. Hard to know whether she’ll be suited by a mile or not having only run over six furlongs so far, whilst the booking of Frankie Dettori makes it hard to know where she stands in the Aidan O’Brien pecking order.
Won two of her four starts but was also beaten by a couple of higher-rated stablemates last season. She again only looks to be the third or fourth choice of the Aidan O’Brien stable on jockey bookings.
Won her maiden on her second run but needs massive improvement if she’s to feature.
Won two of her seven races last year but twice finished well-behind Skitter Scatter and will have needed to improve for her winter break.
Ran a race full of promise when just beaten by Dandhu on her seasonal reappearance and it’s interesting that she’s won both of her starts at a mile so far in her career.
It’s interesting that Donnacha O’Brien is riding for his brother Joseph rather than his dad Aidan, However, this one has ground to make up with both Skitter Scatter and Lady Kaya on last season’s form.
Beat Dandhu last year but was no match for Skitter Scatter on her previous run. Despite that, she still looks to be Aidan O’Brien’s number one with Ryan Moore in the saddle.
Showed she had trained on with a Group 3 win on her seasonal debut but was no match for Skitter Scatter or Fairyland last season.
Beaten in Group 3 company on her last two runs and she looks up against it having been beaten by three of today’s rivals last time.
Beaten by her stablemate Qabala last time but should be suited by stepping up to a mile for the first time. William Buick is also an interesting jockey change, as he won on her the only other-time he rode her.
Gambled like she was a good thing when winning her second start and comes into the race as the only unbeaten filly. That makes her a worthy favourite but she doesn’t have the typical profile of recent 1,000 Guineas winners.
She beat plenty of these on her final three starts last season when she relished being stepped up to seven furlongs. She looks sure to be suited by a mile and looks rock solid each-way material. She’d probably be 2/1 if she was trained by Aidan O’Brien.
Beaten behind a couple of these on her seasonal debut and, though she needs to improve, her trainer did send out the 66/1 last year.
1,000 Guineas Verdict 2019
The English challengers are headed by Qabala, who could be very classy, but she’s nowhere near experienced as recent winner of the first fillies’ classic.
As ever, any of Aidan O’Brien’s could have improved from two to three, especially Just Wonderful. However, Skitter Scatter’s form looks rock solid and she’s reportedly been going well at home in the build-up to the race.
As plenty of outsiders have won this race in recent years, I’m also having a flutter on Iconic Choice who knows how to win and has won both of her races at a mile.