[Free Tips For Saturday] Newbury Horse Racing Tips
Newbury Racecourse stages its 2020 Greatwood Charity Raceday on Saturday 29 February. The highlight is the Greatwood Gold Cup Handicap Chase, whilst the Greatwood Veterans’ Handicap Chase looks another interesting puzzle for punters to solve.
Check out our trends, analysis, and free tips for Newbury’s Greatwood Charity Raceday 2020.
Greatwood Veterans’ Handicap Chase Analysis
14:05 at Newbury on 29th February
Nine runners are set to go to post for the 2020 Greatwood Veterans’ Handicap Chase. The first three home in last year’s contest had all formerly finished runner-up in the Ladbrokes Trophy over course and distance, but only runner-up Theatre Guide returns this year. He’s now 13 but should go well as Colin Tizzard and Jonjo O’Neill team-up in search of another high-profile Saturday winner of a 3-mile+ chase.
He’s certainly preferred to the early market favourite Le Rocher, who has plenty of class but has yet to prove his stamina and hasn’t previously run at Newbury. Joe Farrell has won here but bombed in the 2019 renewal, whilst both Anthony and Strong Pursuit looked dubious stayers when beaten at Newbury last time.
Meanwhile, this is a step-up in class for Horatio Hornblower and Dark Flame, though the latter has run well in a few of these Veteran races recently. Virgilio is interesting back down to his last winning mark but has plenty to prove after being well-beaten in a handicap hurdle after a long spell out with injury.
Greatwood Gold Cup Handicap Chase Analysis
15:15 at Newbury on 29th February
Winners of the last nine editions of the Greatwood Gold Cup fall into two district categories. Three winners have been rated between 128 and 132 and have carried less than 11-0. But six winners have been rated between 143 and 149 and have been trained by Paul Nicholls.
Those statistics exclude eight of this year’s 13 runners, and there are also other reasons for taking on this octet. Bags Groove has been given a great chance after being dropped a few pounds by the handicapper, but his strike-rate in much better on right-handed courses than left-handed courses.
Gala Ball and Valdez both have plenty of decent form at Newbury, including when second and third in the 2019 edition of this race, but both are worse off with the horse that beat them. Benny’s King and Domaine De L’Isle are closely matched on their running at Ascot, but both are now higher in the handicap.
Clondaw Castle also probably needs to find more improvement, having been raised by the handicapper after his win at Warwick. Not Another Muddle is also much higher in the handicap than for his last win. Meanwhile, Drumcliff needs to return in better form than when last seen in 2019.
Tiquer is rated 130 but he also looks up against it with his last two wins coming off 123 and 124. He was also well-beaten by Benny’s King at Newbury in 2019. The other low-weighted runner is Enrichissant, but the 13lb rise for winning last time looks harsh judged on his previous runs.
That means this could be a seventh Greatwood Gold Cup in 10-years for Paul Nicholls, who has actually won nine of the last 14 renewals. But the problem for punters is deciding which one of his three runners has the best chance.
Mont Del Avaloirs is the early market favourite with Bryony Frost in the saddle, but a mark of 142 doesn’t look particularly lenient judged on his hurdles form, as he was beaten several times off marks in the 130s in handicap hurdles. He’s also been well-beaten in his last two novice chases.
Last year’s winner San Benedeto has an obvious chance off just a 3lb higher mark than last year, especially as Bryan Carver claims 5lb. That means he’s 6lb and 8lb better off with the horses he beat into second and third last year.