Free Tips For Lanzarote Hurdle Day 2020
Published on 10/01/20
Kempton Racecourse stages the 2020 Lanzarote Hurdle Day on Saturday 11 January and the eponymous title is the main highlight on the card. The other big race is the Silviniaco Conti Chase.
Check out our trends, analysis, and free tips for Lanzarote Hurdle Day.
Silviniaco Conti Chase 2020 Analysis
14:05 at Kempton on 11th January
This Grade 2 Chase is named after Silviniaco Conti, a horse that won two King George Chases for trainer Paul Nicholls. Five runners are set to line up for the 2020 Silviniaco Conti Chase, but Keeper Hill, Kauto Riko, and Born Survivor would be receiving a lot more weight form two horses that head the market if this were a handicap.
Kauto Riko and Born Survivor also finished behind Top Notch last time, and there’s no obvious reason why they should turn that form around.
Top Notch is the favourite for the race and his connections are already on at big prices after stablemate Altior was originally installed a short priced favourite in the early ante-post market. He won the race last year, but his win in the Peterbrough Chase at Huntingdon last time wasn’t overly impressive. He also beat the 155-rated Black Corton last year but faces the 168-rated Frodon from the Paul Nicholls yard this year.
Lanzarote Hurdle 2020 Analysis
14:40 at Kempton on 11th January
There are no massively strong statistics for the Lanzarote Hurdle over the last decade, but last year’s winner was the only one in that time to be returned at a double-figure price.
Only four horses are priced-up at single-figure prices in the early markets and it’s no surprise to see Notre Pari as the shortest of them all. Trainer Olly Murphy’s six-year-old was sent off favourite on two of his three runs in novice hurdles and, though he failed to win any of those, he made the most of a mark of 122 when winning his first handicap. The handicapper has raised him 8lb for that win, but he has a favourites chance.
Northofthewall also won his last race but that was only a maiden hurdle. Any runner Dan Skelton saddles must be respected but this one had been previously beaten in his first try in a handicap off a lower mark. Larkbarrow Lad is another last time out winner but an 8lb rise seems harsh for that performance. However, he’s had wind surgery since that run and that could eek out some more improvement for this consistent placer.
But the one that I’d side with from the top of the market would be Burrows Edge, who has already placed twice over course and distance this season. Trainer Nicky Henderson also has a great record in the race having saddled the winners in 2013 and 2018.
But there are a few horses at much bigger prices lurking with menace in this race. One of those is the other Nicky Henderson-trained runner Theinval. No horse older than eight has won The Lanzarote Hurdle in the last decade but he’s thrown in off a mark of 137 (rated 146 over fences) and Connor Brace takes another 3lb off.
Theinval also has won two of his three starts at Kempton.
Tight Call is another that comes here having undergone wind surgery and has a first-time tongue-tie fitted. He on first-time out last season and is just 2lb higher than when second to the useful Tedham in a handicap last year. However, the ground may be softer than ideal.