Free Tips For Flemington Racecourse

Free Tips For Flemington Racecourse

November 1, 2018

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2018 AAMI Victoria Derby
Flemington Racecourse
Saturday 3rd November 2018
Race 7: 3.50pm (AEST)
2500 meters, 3yo

The Field

31131 1. THINKIN’ BIG (9), J: TIM CLARK, W: 55.5 KGS, 2.90
14123 2. ARAMAYO (10), J: TYE ANGLAND, W: 55.5 KGS, 6.00
21116 3. EXTRA BRUT (15), J: JOHN ALLEN, W: 55.5 KGS, 9.50
47221 4. STARS OF CARRUM (7), J: BEN MELHAM, W: 55.5 KGS, 12.00
56381 5. HOME GROUND (16), J: HUGH BOWMAN, W: 55.5 KGS, 21.00
X1155 6. MICKEY BLUE EYES (3), J: REGAN BAYLISS, W: 55.5 KGS, 17.00
21132 7. SAVOIE (17), J: DEAN YENDALL, W: 55.5 KGS, 9.00
11704 8. VISAO (13), J: DAMIAN LANE, W: 55.5 KGS, 34.00
69430 9. SEBERATE (18), J: CORY PARISH, W: 55.5 KGS, 91.00
6512 10. CHAPADA (12), J: JAMES MCDONALD, W: 55.5 KGS, 12.00
26123 11. SIKORSKY (6), J: LUKE NOLEN, W: 55.5 KGS, 18.00
19892 12. FAROOQ (2), J: KERRIN MCEVOY, W: 55.5 KGS, 16.00
22340 13. LOUIE THE LEGEND (11), J: DWAYNE DUNN, W: 55.5 KGS, 91.00
18464 14. SAVVY OAK (5), J: MARK ZAHRA, W: 55.5 KGS, 20.00
124 15. TOLEMAC (14), J: UNKNOWN W: 55.5 KGS, 71.00
93313 16. GRINZINGER STAR (4) ,J: DAMIEN OLIVER, W: 55.5 KGS, 51.00
151 17. ALESSANDRO (1), J: BEN THOMPSON, W: 55.5 KGS, 31.00
8321 18. VOW AND DECLARE (8), J: JAMES WINKS, W: 55.5 KGS, 51.00

Form and Predictions

It’s considered to be one of the Blue Riband events for three-year-olds in Australia. Though at this early stage of the three-year-old season, some of the best youngsters aren’t yet on display. Usually they will appear during the Australian autumn season running from March through to April.

In any case, the standout pick for this race is the Waterhouse/Bott colt THINKIN’ BIG. The big news around this horse is that if he wins this race, he’ll go into the Melbourne Cup as the first three-year-old contender since Nothing Leica Dane won the VRC Derby back in 1995, and ultimately ran third in that year’s Melbourne Cup.

I don’t think the quality of this field is particularly high. The first four horses weighted all appear to be dominating the market, at this stage coming in under $10 for a win. These include THINKIN’ BIG, the Godolphin colt ARAMAYO, who connections hope will finally break the hoodoo of winning the race, along with EXTRA BURT and impressive last start winner STARS OF CARRUM.

Just slightly over that mark includes the likes of SAVOIE and CHAPADA. The Frankel bred colt FAROOQ, also appears to be gaining some interest from the market, so it will be interesting to see how he shapes up with punters by Saturday.

For the colts, this is a stallion making race and will ensure some breeding potential into the future for the winner.

Betting Gods Tips

Thinkin’ Big – 2pt win @ 3.40 PaddyPower
Aramayo – 1pt win @ 6.50 Bet365, PaddyPower
Stars Of Carrum – 0.5pt each way @ 9.00 Bet365

Video Reference Guide

2018 Caulfield Classic (Thinkin’ Big, Extra Brut, Chapada, Sikorsky, Visao)

2018 Spring Champion Stakes (Aramayo, Thinkin’ Big, Visao)

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