Breeders' Cup on Sky Sports Racing Handicap Chase 2019 Analysis
16:05 at Fakenham on 18th October
The 2019 Breeders’ Cup on Sky Sports Racing Handicap Chase is a class 3 chase run over 3 miles and 38 yards and it offers the biggest prize on the card with the winner pocketing £9,779.
The last five winners have all been rated over 130 and only one of them was making their seasonal debut. Recent winners have tended to come from the head of the market, with the last five returned at odds ranging from 9/4 to 9/2.
Treacle Tart won 24 days ago but a 6lb rise (now rated 141) for that win looks harsh considering she had previously lost four times of the mark he won off. That means she must carry 12-4 here, a tough ask for any horse.
The two horses at the bottom of the weights Cesar Et Rosalie and Elkstone may not be classy enough. Meanwhile, three of the other four runners, Marienstar, Touch Kick, and Calipso Collonges have long absences to overcome, so they have their fitness to prove.
Fitness shouldn’t be a worry for Hepjeu who has been kept busy over the summer, and he really seems to have found his feet as a chaser. He’s won his last three over fences, two of which came here at Fakenham.
Connections ran him over hurdles last time, which looks to have been to protect his handicap mark with this prize in mind.