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Free Tips For Dubai Future Champions Festival [Day 2]
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Free Tips For Dubai Future Champions Festival [Day 2]

Day two of Newmarket’s 2019 Dubai Future Champions Festival (Saturday 12 October) is known as Dubai Future Champions Day. The Group 1 highlight is the Dewhurst Stakes and star 2-year-old Pinatubo is a strong fancy to extend his unbeaten record to six wins.

There is also a strong supporting card that includes the Group 3 Dubai Autumn Stakes and the Cesarewitch Handicap. Check out our stats, analysis, and free tips for Dubai Future Champions Day.

Dubai Autumn Stakes 2019 Analysis

14:55 at Newmarket on 12th October

The Dubai Autumn Stakes is run over a mile and is restricted to 2-year-olds. The last 10 winners had run between one and five times, with seven winning their previous race, and the other three finishing no worse than fourth.

There have been plenty of big-priced winners, with six of the last 10 returned between 15/2 and 33/1, But the last two have been just 11/4 and 6/5. Godolphin have owned two of the last three winners, one each trained by Charlie Appleby and Saeed Bin Suroor. William Buick has ridden two of the last four winners.

The maiden Ropey Guest would be a surprise winner, but there are plenty of unexposed types that can’t be ruled out statistically. The John Gosden-trained Cherokee Trail is bred to be a decent 2-year-old, but both his wins have come on good-to-firm ground. Military Approach is more interesting for Saeed Bin Suroor and it’s interesting that he had the re-opposing Johan back in fourth when winning on debut, as that horse has won both his races since. But Godolphin also have Al Suhail entered and this Dubawi-sired colt should be suited by the step-up to a mile and a bit of cut in the ground.

Free Tip for Dubai Autumn Stakes 2019

The form of Molatham looks stronger. He was just beaten by Mum’s Tipple on debut but has since beaten Wichita who went on to win a Group 3 by 7-lengths. He’s yet to encounter a soft surface but he has plenty of soft ground influences in his pedigree.

TipMolatham @ 3.50 William Hill

Dewhurst Stakes 2019 Analysis

15:30 at Newmarket on 12th October

The Group 1 Dewhurst Stakes is restricted to 2-year-olds and is run over 7 furlongs. It is worth over £300,000 to the winner and has been used as a stepping-stone to success by some of the best 2-year-olds.

The last 10 winners had at least three runs prior to their Dewhurst Stakes win and seven of the last nine had won their previous start. Aidan O’Brien has won five of the last 10 editions, and Ireland have won seven. There have been 20/1 and 33/1 shocks in the last decade but there have also been five winning favourites returned at evens or lower.

Wichita made a big impression when winning over course and distance last time, but he’s one of four possible entries for race specialist trainer Aidan O’Brien. It will be interesting to see what tactics the Ballydoyle quartet employs but, hopefully, they won’t stop Pinatubo confirming his superstar status.

Free Tip for Dewhurst Stakes 2019

Pinatubo is already rated higher than the 2010 winner Frankel at this stage of his career and Godolphin will be hoping their Shamardal-sired colt can repeat his father’s win in the Dewhurst in 2004. Pinatubo has yet to encounter soft ground but Shamardal won his Dewhurst on a soft surface and won another Group 1 under similar conditions later in his career.

TipPinatubo @ 1.33 William Hill

Cesarewitch Handicap 2019 Analysis

16:10 at Newmarket on 12th October

The Cesarewitch Handicap is run over 2 miles and 2 furlongs and is open to horses aged three and older. But you need to go back to 2009 to find the last winning 3-year-old, with winners since being aged between four and eight.

Eight of the last 10 winners have carried less than 9-0, with seven of those winners rated between 84 and 87. There have been a few gambles landed in the last decade but the race has also had more than its fair share of shock winners with one at 50/1 and two at 66/1 in the last seven years.

Free Tip for Cesarewitch Handicap 2019

Timoshenko looks a great stats-fit as the improving 4-year-old gets in on a mark of 86 and carries just 8-6. He’s also won his last five races, with the 5lb penalty he received for winning at Glorious Goodwood looking fair considering he had been off the track for nearly a year. His shrewd trainer Sir Mark Prescott has not run him since, which suggests he has laid him out for this big prize all season.

TipTimoshenko (Each Way) @ 9.00 William Hill

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