Dubai Autumn Stakes 2019 Analysis
14:55 at Newmarket on 12th October
The Dubai Autumn Stakes is run over a mile and is restricted to 2-year-olds. The last 10 winners had run between one and five times, with seven winning their previous race, and the other three finishing no worse than fourth.
There have been plenty of big-priced winners, with six of the last 10 returned between 15/2 and 33/1, But the last two have been just 11/4 and 6/5. Godolphin have owned two of the last three winners, one each trained by Charlie Appleby and Saeed Bin Suroor. William Buick has ridden two of the last four winners.
The maiden Ropey Guest would be a surprise winner, but there are plenty of unexposed types that can’t be ruled out statistically. The John Gosden-trained Cherokee Trail is bred to be a decent 2-year-old, but both his wins have come on good-to-firm ground. Military Approach is more interesting for Saeed Bin Suroor and it’s interesting that he had the re-opposing Johan back in fourth when winning on debut, as that horse has won both his races since. But Godolphin also have Al Suhail entered and this Dubawi-sired colt should be suited by the step-up to a mile and a bit of cut in the ground.