Bet365 Fillies Mile Analysis
15:35 at Newmarket on 11th October
The Bet365 Fillies Mile is a Group 1 race run over a mile that is restricted to 2-year-olds. In the last decade, all 10 winners had run between two and five times, with six winning their previous race. Seven of the last nine had also won at least twice before winning the race.
Irish-trained horses have won four of the last five editions, with Aidan O’Brien responsible for three of those.
Favourites have a mixed record in the race with five of the last 10 winners returned at 5/2 or less, whilst the others were returned at 7/1, 8/1, 10/1, 14/1, and 28/1.
The weather forecast is also worth noting, as there is a fair bit of rain forecast for Newmarket, and the soft ground will make this mile a real test for 2-year-olds.
Six of this year’s field have already won twice and are rated above 100, but Boomer and West End Girl have ground to make up with Powerful Breeze on their latest running. Powerful Breeze is unbeaten after two runs, but her wins have come on good to firm. The ground could also be a worry for Love, as Aidan O’Brien’s top-rated filly put up her worst performance so far when she encountered ground with cut in it.
Quadrilateral won on good to soft ground on her racecourse debut, but she looked more impressive on good ground last time. She also needs to prove she gets a mile.