Free Tips For College Basketball On 11th Feb

Posted February 10, 2019

By Cole Pepper @ Betting Gods

Virginia Cavaliers (20-2, 9-1 Atlantic Coast Conference) at North Carolina Tar Heels (19-4, 9-1 Atlantic Coast Conference)

Two of the top teams in the Atlantic Coast Conference meet in the Dean Smith Center in Chapel Hill, NC at 7 p.m. ET, Monday, Feb. 11, as the Virginia Cavaliers travel to face the North Carolina Tar Heels. Virginia is coming off their second loss of the season, Saturday to No. 2 Duke. North Carolina has won seven straight, including an overtime victory over Miami on Saturday.

Last Five Games

UVa: 4-1, including conference wins over four unranked teams and an 81-71 home loss to Duke on Saturday
UNC: 5-0, including an overtime win over Miami on Saturday and a win over No. 11 Virginia Tech and a win at No. 16 Louisville (Miami)

Next On The Schedule

Virginia hosts Notre Dame Saturday, while North Carolina travels to Wake Forest Saturday. Neither game should take the focus away from this matchup.

Series History

North Carolina has traditionally dominated the series, winning 103 of 140 matchups since 1943, but Virginia has won the last three matchups in the series, including sweeping the season series last season, including a 71-63 win at North Carolina on March 10, 2018. This is the ninth straight game where the two schools meet while both are ranked in the Top 25. Since Tony Bennett took over as Virginia’s head coach, the Cavaliers have beaten the Tar Heels in eight of the 15 meetings between the two teams. Because of the ACC’s unbalanced schedule, this is the only regular season meeting between the two schools this year.

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The Matchup

In many ways, this is a classic Roy Williams style of North Carolina team. The Tar Heels love to get up and down the floor and have been outscoring the opposition as opposed to out-defending them. North Carolina has scored over 100 points six times this season and average 88 points per game. North Carolina has relied on three key players to lead the scoring spree, Cameron Johnson, Coby White, and Luke Maye. The trio combines to average 47 points per game. Johnson’s three-point shooting has been a big key. Last season, he shot 34 percent from beyond the arc, but this year, the fifth-year senior is hitting over 48 percent of his threes. White, the freshman guard, had struggled with his shot recently, making just two of 11 treys in games against North Carolina State and Louisville, but in the overtime win over Miami, White matched his career high with 33 points while sinking seven three-pointers.

As usual, Virginia is among the best defensive teams in the country. The Cavaliers lead the nation in three-point percentage defense and scoring defense. What has changed is the offensive output. In past years, Tony Bennett’s teams have been near the bottom of the national rankings in points per game, Virginia has improved their offensive efficiency to the middle of the pack. Last season when they lost just three games, Virginia averaged 67.1 points per game. This season, the Cavs average nearly 73 points per game. Like North Carolina, Virginia is led by a trio of players, De’Andre Hunter, Kyle Guy, and Ty Jerome, who all average better than 13 points per game. In his first year as a starter for Virginia, Hunter is averaging 14.5 points per game. Guy is just ahead at 14.6 points per game. Jerome is the question mark for the game, having missed the Cavs win over Miami with a back injury. Jerome returned to play 37 minutes in the 81-71 loss to Duke on Saturday when he scored 16 points, dished out four assists and committed three turnovers. With Jerome, who ranks third in the ACC in assists, out of the lineup, freshman guard Kihei Clark started at point guard and has struggled with turnovers. The injury bears watching. In consecutive games, Virginia turned the ball over 30 times, including 16 in an overtime win over North Carolina State, a season high. Prior to those games, Virginia led the nation in fewest turnovers, an essential trend considering their ball-control approach to the game. The 81 points allowed to Duke were the most by any Virginia opponent this season.

Prediction

This game is going to be all about who can dictate tempo. North Carolina wants to run, while Virginia prefers the most methodical approach of any team in the nation. If Jerome plays, Virginia stands a much better chance of controlling the tempo and pace of the game. Especially playing on the road, taking care of the ball is essential. Look for North Carolina to push the tempo whenever the opportunity is there. North Carolina 64 Virginia 62.

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Launched in March 2018

£158.58

Avg Profit
Per Month

6.11%

Return on Investment

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