Free Tips For Classic Chase Raceday Day 2020
Published on 10/01/20
The McCoy Contractors Classic Chase Raceday (Saturday 11 January) is Warwick Racecourse’s biggest day of the year. The highlight is the Grade 3 Classic Chase, whilst important supporting races include the Grade 2 Ballymore Novices’ Hurdle, and the Hampton Novices’ Chase.
Check out our trends, analysis, and free tips for Classic Chase Raceday at Warwick.
Hampton Novices’ Chase 2020 Analysis
13:50 at Warwick on 11th January
Five of the runners in this Grade 2 Chase are rated within 3lb of each other and, with nine having to carry penalties, it could be a thrilling finish if they all run-up to their best. However, the stables of Mick Channon and Kim Bailey are struggling for a bit of form and that could count against Hold The Note and Two For Gold.
Roll Again could go well after falling over a shorter trip last time and he should appreciate the step back up to three miles. Dan Skelton also likes to have winners at his local track so Ardlethen could trouble the judge.
Free Tips for Hampton Novices’ Chase 2020
Colin Tizzard’s novices have been improving all season and Highest Sun is fancied to give him another high-profile Saturday success. He finished placed behind Champ and Pym on his first two runs over fences and, with that form boosted since, he’s taken to win this with Robbie Power making the trip to Warwick to take the ride.
Ballymore Leamington Novices’ Hurdle 2020 Analysis
14:25 at Warwick on 11th January
Five of the six runners won last time out and it’s impossible to rule out the one that didn’t, Mossy Fen, as he was a bit unlucky when finishing fourth at Cheltenham having run well prior to that. The eye is drawn immediately to the names of Henderson, Tizzard, Skelton, Pauling, and Twiston-Davies, and their challengers will surely be rated much higher than the 132-135 they’re currently rated.
Free Tips for Ballymore Leamington Novices’ Hurdle 2020
Whilst they have that potential, they all have some way to go to improve past Décor Irlandais. He steps up in grade but he’s rated 145 and easily gave 9lb and a beating to a horse rated 138 last time.
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Classic Chase 2020 Analysis
15:00 at Warwick on 11th January
Heavy ground at Warwick could turn this into a last-man-standing slog but hopefully the forecast will keep the ground as officially soft. Those conditions could still prove too much for last year’s winner Impulsive Star who took the 2019 edition on good ground carrying a featherweight. He’s rated just 4lb higher than last year but, due to a lack of any top-class runners at the head of the weights, he carries a much bigger weight.
Connections reach for first-time blinkers in his bid for back-to-back wins.
But the horses below Impulsive Star in the weights may lack the necessary class to win this unless a few of the principals fail to fire.
Le Breuil is the highest-rated horse in the line-up on 148 and, interestingly, connections have booked a 7lb claimer to do the steering. Le Breuil proved his stamina with a win in the National Hunt Chase over four miles at the 2019 Cheltenham Festival and he’s also won a bumper at Warwick. A first prize of £42,000 isn’t to be sniffed at but connections could have the Grand National in mind and he has a perfect rating to get in near the bottom of the weights for that.
Crosspark also looks to have a tough job on his hand off a 9lb higher mark than when third in the race last year.
That’s why the finish for this race could be fought out between the market rivals The Conditional and Kimberlite Candy. Both could also have the Grand National on their agenda but will probably need to win before the weights are announced as their ratings of 142 and 140 aren’t normally high enough to get in the field at Aintree.
But it remains to be seen whether Kimberlite Candy improved on his seasonal debut when second in the Becher Chase. His last win came off a 7lb lower mark and he’s been beaten in several handicaps since.
Free Tips for Classic Chase 2020
The Conditional deserves a chance to prove he can win at this sort of trip. This looks a step down in class from the Ladbrokes Trophy, which he ran a brilliant race in to be second to De Rasher County. Prior to that he had won well at Cheltenham, beating West Approach who returned to win at Cheltenham on his next start. The Conditional does have to prove his stamina but could easily improve for the extra distance.