Classic Chase 2020 Analysis
15:00 at Warwick on 11th January
Heavy ground at Warwick could turn this into a last-man-standing slog but hopefully the forecast will keep the ground as officially soft. Those conditions could still prove too much for last year’s winner Impulsive Star who took the 2019 edition on good ground carrying a featherweight. He’s rated just 4lb higher than last year but, due to a lack of any top-class runners at the head of the weights, he carries a much bigger weight.
Connections reach for first-time blinkers in his bid for back-to-back wins.
But the horses below Impulsive Star in the weights may lack the necessary class to win this unless a few of the principals fail to fire.
Le Breuil is the highest-rated horse in the line-up on 148 and, interestingly, connections have booked a 7lb claimer to do the steering. Le Breuil proved his stamina with a win in the National Hunt Chase over four miles at the 2019 Cheltenham Festival and he’s also won a bumper at Warwick. A first prize of £42,000 isn’t to be sniffed at but connections could have the Grand National in mind and he has a perfect rating to get in near the bottom of the weights for that.
Crosspark also looks to have a tough job on his hand off a 9lb higher mark than when third in the race last year.
That’s why the finish for this race could be fought out between the market rivals The Conditional and Kimberlite Candy. Both could also have the Grand National on their agenda but will probably need to win before the weights are announced as their ratings of 142 and 140 aren’t normally high enough to get in the field at Aintree.
But it remains to be seen whether Kimberlite Candy improved on his seasonal debut when second in the Becher Chase. His last win came off a 7lb lower mark and he’s been beaten in several handicaps since.