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Free Tips For Cheltenham International Meeting [Day One] | Betting Gods
Free Tips For Cheltenham International Meeting [Day One]

Free Tips For Cheltenham International Meeting [Day One]

Published on 12/12/19

Cheltenham stages day one of its International Meeting on Friday (December 13), with the weather forecast suggesting the meeting will start on good to soft ground, with the Cross Country Course riding slightly softer.

The highlight on the card is the BetVictor Handicap Chase, with quality supporting races including the International Decorative Surfaces Novices’ Chase, and the Glenfarclas Cross Country Handicap Chase.

Check out our trends, analysis, and free tips for Cheltenham.

International Decorative Surfaces Novices' Chase 2019 Analysis

12:45 at Cheltenham on 13th December

This novices’ chase over 3m 1f 56 yards is the second race on the card and it has been won by plenty of horses that have gone on to bigger and better things including Blaklion, Sizing Tennessee, and The World’s End.

An interesting quintet of horses are set to line up this year. Aye Aye Charlie has run plenty of decent races but looks the most exposed of the five runners. Rockpoint has run two creditable races here at Cheltenham over fences but ratings suggest he could be one for handicaps after this run. Imperial Aura is much less exposed, but he also has something to find for trainer Kim Bailey whose string could be in better form.

Nicky Henderson is a trainer that traditionally has plenty of winners in December and Pym was a good winner last time from a mark of 137. That earned him a rating of 149 and, though he sets a decent standard, he does have to concede 5lb to a horse that was rated higher than him over hurdles.

Free Tips for International Decorative Surfaces Novices' Chase 2019

Stoney Mountain needs to prove he can jump a fence at least as well as he jumped a hurdle, but Trevor Hemming owned horses normally improve for going chasing. Stamina won him the day when winning a valuable prize at Haydock last time and he should relish the longer trip here.

TipStoney Mountain @ 5.00 with BetVictor, 888Sport, PaddyPower

BetVictor Handicap Chase 2019 Analysis

14:30 at Cheltenham on 13th December

This class 1 handicap chase is run over 3 miles and 2 furlongs. It hasn’t thrown-up any really strong trends over the last decade, but Colin Tizzard has won two of the last three editions.

This Year, Tizzard relies on West Approach who was well-backed to win last month’s Ladbrokes Trophy but unseated his rider early on. But Robbie Power keeps the faith after the pair won a handicap at Cheltenham two starts ago off an 8lb lower mark. He’s still 4lb lower than his highest hurdles rating but must carry 6lb more than any winner in the last decade.

Rock The Kasbah, Dandy Man, and Cobra De Mai also look high in the weights compared to past winners. But a potentially well-weighted runner is What A Moment who has won off a 2lb higher mark here, be it in a lower grade.

Free Tips for BetVictor Handicap Chase 2019

It’s Cogry that looks the each way play. Last year’s winner returns off same mark this year and is 10lb better off with West Approach who finished two lengths in front of him last time. The winner that day, The Conditional, also franked the form when finishing second in the Ladbrokes Trophy off a 6lb higher mark. Cogry should also prefer the better ground, as it was soft that day but good when he won last year.

TipCogry (each way) @ 6.50 with Bet365, WilliamHill, SportPesa

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Glenfarclas Cross Country Handicap Chase 2019 Analysis

15:05 at Cheltenham on 13th December

This race over Cheltenham’s cross country fences takes place over 3m 6f 37y and the most notable thing is this is a handicap unlike the cross country race at the Cheltenham Festival. Topweights have won three of the last nine editions but four of the last five winners have carried 11-2 or less. The other notable stat is that trainer Enda Bolger has saddled four of the last nine winners.

Bolger saddles two runners this year in Josie’s Orders and Yanworth. Josie’s Orders is a multiple course winner including this race in 2015 and a double-digit age has not proved a barrier to success before. But Yanworth could be more interesting considering he was a Grade 1 winner over hurdles. The trouble is both have big weights to carry.

The French challengers are more interesting. Amazing Company has run well here before, whilst Azrou D’Ex also deserves respect after winning a cross country in France last time, but both are rated lower than any of the last 10 winners.

Free Tips for Glenfarclas Cross Country Handicap Chase 2019

The vote goes to Easyland who won a good race at Compiegne last time. That win over the furthest he had ventured took his winning run to four and suggested he could relish the longer trip here.

TipEasyland (each way) @ 6.00 with Bet365, WilliamHill, SportPesa

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