Rous Stakes 2019 Analysis
14:00 at Ascot on 5th October
The Rous Stakes is a Listed race run over 5 furlongs. The 2019 Rous Stakes is set to take place on soft ground and it’s notable the last three winners of editions run under similar underfoot conditions have been drawn high. They were also won by horses aged four, five, and six, perhaps suggesting 3-year-olds struggle to cope with the testing conditions as well as their elders. None of the last 10 winners have carried a penalty.
Nine of the last 10 winners had run in the preceding 20 days. Nine of the last 10 winners have been returned between 9/2 and 11/1 but the other was a 33/1 shocker.
The in-form Dakota Gold sets a decent standard, having just failed in his bid to notch-up a five-timer last time, but he does have to carry a 3lb penalty. That means dual course and distance winner Tis Marvellous comes out best at the weights, but he’s not guaranteed to produce his best on soft ground. That comment also applies to Danzeno. Stake Acclaim could go close as he relishes soft ground, but he has a tough-looking draw in stall-4.