Free Tip For Liz Adam Memorial Handicap Chase
Free Tip For Liz Adam Memorial Handicap Chase

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Free Tip For Liz Adam Memorial Handicap Chase

Posted March 23, 2019 | By Tim @ Betting Gods

The Liz Adam Memorial Chase (Saturday 23 March @ 15:00) is a class 2 chase run over a trip of 3 miles 2 furlongs and 39 yards at Kelso which carries a first prize of £31,280.

It is a relatively new addition to Kelso’s fixtures as it was first run in 2017. The two winners so far have been Yala Enki and Smooth Stepper.

Liz Adam Memorial Handicap Chase Trends

Yala Enki won the first renewal of the Free Tip Liz Adam Memorial Handicap Chase at the age of seven, he was rated 146 and carried 11-11 to victory on heavy ground. He had run four times that season with his last run coming 21 days earlier. He was sent-off at 9/4.

Last year’s winner Smooth Stepper was a nine-year-old that also triumphed on heavy ground, but he was rated just 138 and carried 10-12. He had run five times that season with his last run coming 42 days earlier. He was returned at 16/1.

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Liz Adam Memorial Handicap Chase 2019 Runner-By-Runner Guide

Blue Flight

Rapidly improving six-year-old who has taken a real liking to Kelso on his last two starts, winning off marks of 128 and 132 over slightly shorter than Saturday’s trip. The handicapper has raised him 14lb for his last win but, as he beat two horses that were rated 25lb and 12lb superior to him on that occasion, he could still have more to offer.

Ron’s Dream

Course-winning nine-year-old that was rated in the 140’s over hurdles, so could still have a win in her off a mark of 139. She could also appreciate this slightly extended trip if not affected by unseating her rider last time. His trainer enjoys nearly a 28% strike-rate here.
Some Chaos

After two wins off marks of 102 and 109, he was beaten twice off marks in the 120’s before winning off 127 last time. The handicapper has now raised him to 138 and that may be a step too far in a better class race than he normally contends.

Calipso Collonges

The winner of four hurdle races in 2018 and he has won one of his three chases so far. Could take higher rank over fences in time but the balance of his form suggests that a mark of 132 is probably about right for him.

Le Reve

An eleven-year-old that won off a mark of 144 in his prime in 2016 but didn’t win again until this year when dropped to a mark of 126. Followed that win with another off 130 in a race he had every right to win but the style of that victory suggested he could easily have another win in him off today’s mark of 132. His jockey, who is one from one on him, also takes 5lbs off and that means he carries a nice low-weight.

Free Tip For Liz Adam Memorial Handicap Chase© RacingFotos.com
Gold Opera

10lb higher than last win and, though he’s finished second on both starts since, his course record of no placings in five visits would make him a surprise winner.

Claud And Goldie

His two runs at Kelso have produced a third and a win in his first handicap, but he’s up 10lbs for that win in a much harder looking race. Tough ask.

Capard King

Up 5lbs for finishing second on his stable debut but has been rated much higher in the past. Hard to know if he still has the ability to build on that performance but his new trainer has won several big races here.

Quentin Franks Racing

Launched in July 2014

£236.60

Avg Profit
Per Month

20.07%

Return on Investment

Tip Liz Adam Memorial Handicap Chase 2019 Verdict

A big first prize and an interesting field where few can be easily discounted. Blue Flight has an excellent course record and is improving whilst Ron’s Dream could still be well-handicapped and also boasts a 100% course record. However, both must concede plenty of weight to potentially well-handicapped horses near the foot of the weights.

They include Capanard King, but preference is for Le Reve who we can only hope is in as good a form as he was last time. His presence in the field certainly suggests his trainer thinks he is; as this looks to be her first venture to the Scottish Borders track.

Free Tip For Liz Adam Memorial Handicap Chase
Le Reve @ 6.00 Bet365, SkyBet

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