Lingfield Racecourse is staging two high-class races on Saturday (February 23) and, with the 48-hour declarations already in, we thought we’d take a look at the Betway Hever Sprint Stakes and the Winter Derby. Check out our Lingfield free tips for both of these big races.
Betway Hever Sprint Stakes (2.05)
All of the last 10 winners of the Betway Hever Sprint Stakes have been aged either four, five, or six. A draw in stalls 1, 2, or 5 has also been an advantage with seven of the last nine winners coming from one of these stalls.
Only three of the last 10 winners had won last time out, with winners carrying weights ranging from 8-9 to 9-3.
This race has been a nightmare for favourite backers, as seven of the last eight winners were returned at odds of between 6/1 and 16/1.
The winners of the 2017 and 2018 renewals of the Hever Sprint Stakes return to try and win the race again but both Gracious John and Royal Birth are now older than any of the last 10 winners. But Royal Birth is drawn is stall-five, from which three of the last eight winners have been berthed.
The presence of Gracious John should also ensure that this race is run at a decent pace, which usually gives lower-rated horses such as Ornate and Gorgeous Noora less of a chance of causing an upset.
That leaves us with the likely favourite Encore D’Or and Corinthia Knight, whose respective trainers are both in form. Encor D’Or has been in the better form of late but, with favourites having a poor record, it could be worth taking a chance that Corinthia Knight will bounce back to form over a course and distance where he’s two wins from two runs, while he’s also drawn in stall one.
A form-line through the likely pacesetter Gracious John also suggests he has an excellent chance. He beat Gracious John by one and a half lengths here in December giving him 2lb, whilst Encor D’Or only beat Gracious John by a neck here last year when giving him 3lb.
Free Tip For The Betway Hever Sprint Stakes:
Corinthia Knight @ 5.00 Bet365, William, Hill
Betway Winter Derby Stakes
The stats for the Betway Winter Derby aren’t as strong as those for the Hever Stakes, with winners of this Group 3 contest being aged four to eight and drawn anywhere between stall-three and stall-eleven. Half of the winners had won last-time out, while their SP’s have ranged from 11/8 to 16/1.
It may be worth dismissing the chances of Chiefofchiefs and Hathal, as they are drawn in stalls one and two, which so far have provided no winners. Chiefofchiefs also looks up against it on ratings, while soft-ground loving turf horse Hathal’s recent all-weather form has come on the slower surface at Wolverhampton. Pactolus also isn’t usually up to this class.
There’s no doubt that Wissahickon is going to be tough to beat after completing a perfect three from three record over course and distance last time. It could be another wheelbarrow job for the big-hitters, but plenty of favourites have got beaten in this race.
Admittedly, it’s hard to see either Big Country or his stablemate Court House reversing the form from the Winter Derby Trial, which only leaves us with last year’s shock winner Master The World. However, what David Elsworth’s eight-year-old does possess is a turn-of-foot and, if the favourite plays his hand too soon, there’s a chance he could do him in the lunge to the line. But keep your bets to a minimum.
Free Tip For The Winter Derby:
Master The World @ 10.00 William Hill, Boylesports