Kelso stages its prestigious Premier Hurdle Day on Saturday (March 2) and, as the name suggests, the Premier Hurdle is the main attraction. We’ve a free tip for the big race as well as free tips for the Cyril Alexander Memorial Chase, and the Belhaven Brewery Premier Chase.
Cyril Alexander Memorial Chase (2.15)
This will be the fourth renewal of the Cyril Alexander Memorial Chase which is run over 2 miles 1 furlong and 14 yards and offers a first prize of over £7,000.
Cyril Alexander Memorial Chase Trends
All three of the past renewals have gone to horses trained in the North of England. They have all been aged either six or seven, have been rated between 107 and 121, and have carried between 10-4 and 11-4.
None of the three winners had won last-time-out but they had raced between 17 and 54 days earlier and were returned at odds of between 10/3 and 9/2. Miss Lucinda Russell has trained two of those three winners.
Cyril Alexander Memorial Novices’ Chase Summary
There is only a small sample of trends to go on but applying them to narrow down the field shows El Terremoto, Sword Of fate, and Tonto’s Spirit are all rated higher and set to carry more weight than any of the three previous winners, whilst Okotoks is also rated higher.
That means it could be worth chancing Alizee De Janeiro who is trained by Lucinda Russell. At the age of nine, he is older than the previous three winners, but a rating of 115 and a nice low-weight of 10-3 could suit this course and distance winner.
Cyril Alexander Memorial Novices’ Chase Free Tip:
Alizee De Janeiro @ 6.00 MoPlay (Bet £10, Get 2 x £15 free bets)
Belhaven Brewery Premier Chase (2.45)
A first prize of over £34,000 has attracted a small but interesting field for Kelso’s biggest chase of the season. Seen as a potential Grand National Trial, the Belhaven Brewery Premier Chase is run over 2 miles 7 furlongs and 96 yards and has been won in the past by Many Clouds.
Belhaven Brewery Premier Chase Trends
Winner have been aged between six and 11, with weights carried ranging from 10-12 to 11-8. Only two of the last nine winners had won last time out and all had raced between 14 and 98 days prior to their success. SP’s of the winners have varied from 11/10 to 20/1.
Belhaven Brewery Premier Chase Trends
There are only five runners declared for the 2019 renewal of the Belhaven Brewery Premier Chase but it’s impossible to rule any of them out from a trends point of view. However, ratings suggest that ACDC and Blue Flight will have to excel themselves to win if any of the other trio run up to form.
It’s also hard to believe that Captain Redbeard suddenly improved enough to beat Definitely Red over course and distance last time and it’s more likely that Definitely Red underperformed.
If that’s the case, that leaves us with an interesting match between Black Corton and One For Arthur, with the former rated 3lb higher than his main rival but having to concede him that 3lb here. But, as One For Arthur has unseated on both starts this season and surely wants further, this does look a great opportunity for Black Corton to grab a big prize before a possible tilt at the Grand National.
Belhaven Brewery Premier Chase Free Tip:
Black Corton @ 1.53 MoPlay (Bet £10, Get 2 x £15 free bets)
Edinburgh Gin Premier Kelso Novices’ Hurdle (3.15)
This Grade 2 Hurdle is worth over £28,000 to the winner and is Kelso’s biggest hurdle race of the year. It is run over a trip of 2 miles 2 furlongs and 25 yards and has been won by notable horses like Clever Cookie and Le Prezien.
Edinburgh Gin Premier Hurdle Trends
The last nine winners have been aged between five and eight and have carried between 11-1 and 11-9 to victory. They have also raced between 27 and 101 days prior to their success, with four of the last six winners winning last time out. SP’s have ranged from 11/8 to 20/1.
Edinburgh Gin Premier Hurdle Summary
Not a race that can easily be dissected using the trends but, on ratings, Getaway Trump and Rouge Vif have 8lb and upwards in hand off the other four runners. Both also arrive here in fine form. Getaway Trump has run well in defeat in both novice company and handicap company lately and this trip could suit him ideally. However, it is Rouge Vif that gets the vote having won last time out. His second place behind Mr Fisher when conceding that horse weight on his previous run also looks the strongest piece of form on offer.
Edinburgh Gin Premier Hurdle Free Tip:
Rouge Vif @ 5.00 MoPlay (Bet £10, Get 2 x £15 free bets)