Doncaster’s four-day 2019 St Leger Festival begins on Wednesday 11 September, with the first day now known as the William Hill St Leger Festival – DC Training & Development Services Ltd Leger Legends Day.
Check out St Leger Festival free tips for the Leger Legends Classified Stakes and the Scarbrough Stakes.
Scarbrough Stakes 2019 Analysis
15:00 at Doncaster on 11th Sept
The Scarbrough Stakes is a Listed Race run over Doncaster’s minimum distance of 5 furlongs and 3 yards. It is the most lucrative race on the first day of the St Leger Festival and has been won in recent years by horses such as Mecca’s Angel, Sole Power, and Prohibit.
The last 10 winners have all been aged 3, 4, or 5 and nine of those 10 winners had run in the last 11 to 40 days. Nine of the last 10 winners were returned at odds of between 2/1 and 10/1, whilst the last five winners were all drawn no higher than in stall-4. Charlie Hills, Clive Cox, and Michael Dods have all trained a winner in the last five years.
Dark Shot and Duke Of Firenze are older than ideal and also have plenty to find at the weights. Archers Dream also has something to prove after underperforming last time and he drops to five furlongs for the first time.
Ratings suggest this race should go to either Tis Marvellous, El Astronaute, or Equilateral, but their combined record of just one class 1 win from 26 attempts suggests they could be vulnerable.
The horse to take that trio on with looks to be Queens Gift. The Michael Dods-trained 4-year-old was a course and distance winner on fast ground three starts ago, and she won again next time out. She then took on some established sprinters in the Beverley Bullet last time, when finishing in front of Tis Marvellous. She also finished in front of a horse called Danzeno, who finished behind another Michael Dods-trained horse at York this week. She arrives on an upward curve and looks the one to be on.
Leger Legends Classified Stakes 2019 Analysis
15:35 at Doncaster on 11th Sept
The Leger Legends Classified Stakes may only be a class 5 race worth £6,728 to the winner, but it is a real crowd-pleaser due to all the horses in the field being ridden by former legends of the saddle, with previous winning jockeys including AP McCoy, Mick Kinane, and Charlie Swan.
For that reason, it can be a bit of a minefield for punters, with jockeys allocated their mounts in the build-up to the race.
However, there are some statistics worth considering. Seven of the nine winning horses have been aged 3 or 4, with seven of those nine winners drawn no higher than stall-8, whilst seven winners have been returned at no bigger than 8/1.
The horse that fits those statistics best is Dubai Acclaim. Richard Fahey’s 4-year-old is drawn in stall-7 and, having won off marks as high as 75 in the past, he’s now on a mark of 69, despite having finished runner-up three times in his last four starts, including once over course and distance, and twice in a higher grade. Fahey also fits first-time cheek-pieces and, hopefully, that will allow Dubai Acclaim to find a bit of improvement and get his head in front.