Treve Too Hot To Handle
Tuesday’s stunning Group-one performances by Kingman, Toronado and Sole Power were hopefully just a taste of things to come, as there are another 4 days and 24 races to sink your teeth into.
Today sees the English debut of the last season’s Arc de Triomphe winner Treve, officially rated the best horse in the word, and 4/5 or better should be snapped-up. The opposition for the Price of Wales crown is far from average with Breeders Cup winner Magician and multiple group- 1 winning The Fugue in opposition, however Treve faces nothing of the talent of her D’Ishpan conqueror Cirrus Des Aigles, who is the only horse to beat her so far.
Sir Michael Stoute’s Royal Hunt Cup favourite Abseil also looks worth a strong each-way bet, especially with the bookies going 6/1 ¼ odds five-places. Probably a group horse of the future, he should be up to taking this handicap off just 8-11.
Horse Racing – Royal Ascot – Thursday
Gold Cup favourite Leading Light looks amazingly short at around 11/8, especially with the Aiden O’Brien team hardly firing on all cylinders, but at least he makes the each-way prices attractive. I’m loathe to desert Brown Panther after he’s won twice for me this season, but he probably prefers a bit of cut, and I’d much rather play fast-ground loving Simenon each-way at around 20-1.
Horse Racing – Royal Ascot – Friday
John Oxx has been waiting for decent ground for My Titania, and the Sea The Stars filly is taken to reward her trainer’s patience by winning the Coronation Stakes. Each-way at around 5/1 is an ideal play.
Golf – PGA Tour – Travellers Championship (Thursday – Sunday)
Bubba Watson is a worthy 12/1 favourite with six-year course form reading 6/14/1/38/2/4. He arguably should have won last year as well, but blamed a shot that found the water on his caddie giving him the wrong club. Wide-fairways play to his strengths, and last week’s missed cut in the US Open has given him plenty of time to get in the right mind-frame for one of his favourite events.
Back-up comes in the form of three players who are hopefully fresh after not playing in last week’s exacting Pinehurst test, Freddie Jacobsen (50/1), Mark Leishman (50/1) and Chesson Hadley (150/1).
Golf – European Tour – Irish Open (Thursday – Sunday)
5/1 about Rory McIlroy won’t have many people jumping out of bed, but the receptive greens at Fota Island and the emphasis on hitting them in regulation mean he’s likely to get his name on the leaderboard at some point.
Meanwhile, Richard Green should relish this relatively short course that requires course management and accuracy, and 80/1 is a great price for an in-form player who has posted three top-5 finishes in the event in the last seven years. 7/1 for a top-10 finish also appeals.
Football – World Cup
You had to love England’s pace, skill and enthusiasm against Italy but, despite losing that match, their price to beat Uruguay on Thursday contracted to 6/5 mainly due to their opponent’s defeat to supposed group-D whipping boys Costa Rica. The fridge is crammed full of beer, my England shirt is washed and ironed, but cheering them to a win will be enough for me without backing them at a price that now looks too short.
Of the other matches between now and Saturday, I expect Spain (8/13) to rise to the qualification necessity of beating Chile, whilst Croatia (8/13) to beat Cameroon and Colombia (11/10) to beat Ivory Coast complete the proposed treble.