Toffees Can Make It Sticky For Liverpool
There are some interesting clashes in the battle for next season’s Champion League places this weekend, and they kick-off with the Merseyside Derby on Saturday lunchtime. We’ve a tip for that game as well as tips for Manchester United vs West Brom, and Arsenal vs Manchester City.
Liverpool vs Everton (Saturday 12.30)
The Merseyside Derby kick-starts what should be another entertaining weekend of Premier League Football, and both teams still have hopes of playing Champions League Football next season. Those hopes are quite slim for seventh-placed Everton, who trail fourth-placed Liverpool by 6-points, whilst both fifth and sixth placed Arsenal and Manchester United have two-games in-hand over the Toffees. Therefore, Everton will be desperate to try and win this game. However, recent renewals of this fixture also don’t bode well for Everton taking 3-points, as they haven’t won at Anfield since 1999, and haven’t won a Merseyside Derby since 2010. However, they have drawn on 2 of their last 4 visits to Anfield, whilst 4 of the last 5 games at Goodison Park have also ended drawn. Therefore, the 3/1 for a draw looks better value than the 3/4 for a Liverpool win.
Draw @ 3/1 (Various Bookmakers)
Manchester United vs West Brom (Saturday 3.00)
With West Brom having won 2 of the last 3 renewals of this fixture, it’s easy to make a case for taking the 10/1 to make that 3 in 4. However, United haven’t been beaten in their last 23 home games, with their last home-defeat coming at the hands of neighbours Manchester City in September. Meanwhile, West Brom have generally struggled against top-6 opposition this season. However, one really interesting fact is that the two teams were drawing at half-time in 4 of the last 7 games. It’s 6/4 that they are drawing at half-time here and, with the teams being tied at half-time in 2 of United’s last 3 home games – it looks an interesting value-bet.
Draw At Half-Time @ 6/4 (Stan James)
Arsenal vs Manchester City (Sunday 4.00)
This looks a must win match for fifth-placed Arsenal, who are 7-points behind third-placed City with a game in hand, and they’ll take plenty of confidence from the fact they’ve won their two home games against City. However, the stats-guys will be all over the more than 2.5 goals in this match. That’s because 6 of the last 7 matches between the two teams have produced at least 3 goals, whilst 7 of Arsenal’s last 8 games have also produced at least 3 goals – making the 4/6 look a big price.
More Than 2.5 Goals @ 4/6 (Marathon Bet)