More Premier League Football Predictions
We may only be one match into the 2015/16 Premier League season, but already we’ve seen the favourites flip-flop with Manchester City now installed as favourites over the original jollies Chelsea. Time may tell us that’s an overreaction but, with City playing host to Chelsea in Sunday’s big game, it’s going to be an interesting second weekend of the season.
Here’s our statistical analysis of 5 of the weekend’s big games.
Villa vs Man United (Fri 7.45pm)
United haven’t lost this fixture in the last 6 years (4 wins and 2 draws), but even my most ardent United buddies couldn’t bring themselves to say they deserved their victory over Spurs last Saturday. Meanwhile, Villa carried on their reasonable form that saved them from relegation last season with victory over newly promoted Bournemouth. However, with 2 draws in the last 6 making the draw look a 2/1 shot – the 3/1 for a draw here looks the value.
Draw @ 3/1 (Betfred)
Southampton vs Everton (Sat 3pm)
It’s 3 victories for Southampton (including last 2 years) and 3 draws in the last 6 years, but I’m not convinced they will fly as high as last season. Both teams drew their opening games 2-2 against what was, on paper, inferior opposition and it’s easy to see this being a draw, too. 3 draws in 6 make the draw an even-money shot and the 13/5 looks well worth taking.
Draw @ 13/5 (Betfred)
Swansea vs Newcastle (Sat 3pm)
Swansea have won 2 of the last 3, and probably remain the most underrated team in the Premier League. I’m not convinced that Newcastle will be any better than the team that somehow survived last season’s dreaded drop – and the 19/20 for a Swansea win looks more than fair.
Swansea win @ 19/20 (Various)
Crystal Palace vs Arsenal (Sun 1.30)
Arsenal have won the two recent renewals and bookies seemed to be taking a chance offering 3/4 an Arsenal win, despite the Gunners surprisingly losing 2-0 at home last week to West Ham. Palace also won away at Norwich, but this will surely be a much tougher test for them.
Arsenal @ 3/4 (Coral, Paddy Power)
Man City vs Chelsea (Sun 4.00)
City dominated this fixture between 2010 and 2013, but Chelsea won in 2014 and looked the better team last year before Frank Lampard popped one in against his old club. Jose Mourinho knows he can’t lose here after dropping 2 points against Swansea last week, and what looks likely to be a cagey affair could easily end in a draw.
Draw @ 5/2 (Betfred, Stan James)
Any top football tips of your own?
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