Football: Premiership Post Transfer-Window Best Bets
The dust has settled on a record-spending Premiership transfer-window, and it’s time to find some value bets to keep us warm until the end of May.
Chelsea have understandably shortened after opening with three wins and, whilst their main rivals have hardly covered themselves in glory, odds of 4/5 to lift the title in May look a little bit premature.
Manchester City looked clinical in their first two games and their defeat by Stoke will surely be a temporary blip, whilst a Balotelli buoyed Liverpool may yet have a better season than first predicted if Brendan Rogers can get the best from his major new signing.
It’s difficult to fancy Arsenal unless Arsene Wenger can suddenly make Manchester United cast-off Danny Welbeck a 30-a-season goal machine, and the fact United have let him go makes you sit up and take notice – that and they’ve spent over 150 million on a plethora of world-class players!
United are currently 16/1 with BetVictor and Ladbrokes to win the Premiership (only 15/1 on Betfair) and look a great bet with a view to laying the bet off; as they will surely shorten at some point. Their next fixture is at home to QPR and their new line-up could quickly make their mark by destroying Harry Redknapp’s team.
Manchester United 16/1
It’s hard not to be impressed by Diego Costa’s impact on the Premiership, and he could easily get 30+ goals this season. However, 9/4 isn’t appealing. If there’s a value bet against him, it could come in the shape of a new United hitman Radamel Falcao.
The Colombian is a goal-scoring machine, and a close comparison of his and Costa’s record shows he’s a worthy adversary. Costa scored 43 goals in his 94 game spell at Athletico Madrid, however that was eclipsed by Falcao’s 52 goals in 68 games for the same club. He starts four goals behind but that’s certainly not insurmountable.
Alternatively, if you do think Danny Wellbeck will have a major impact at Arsenal you might want to consider backing him each-way at a massive 100/1.
Falcao each-way 16/1
Wellbeck each-way 100/1
Betting Without Chelsea & Manchester City
Yes you’ve guessed it, the tip is Manchester United, but they’re only 4 points behind Liverpool and 3 points behind Arsenal – and 7/2 looks massive if Louis van Gaal can quickly make his team as good as it looks on paper.
Manchester United 7/2
If you’re fed up with the notion of lumping your hard-earned on Manchester United, then you might want to consider a value-bet to finish in the top-half of the table – Hull City. Manager Steve Bruce managed to do some serious last-minute transfer business and their early departure from Europe means they’ll have few distractions for the remainder of the season.
Hull City 3/1