The Premier League swings back into action on Friday, Saturday and Sunday, and we’ve a tip for the big game of the weekend in Liverpool vs Manchester City, as well as the Friday evening game between Hull and Everton, and Burnley vs Sunderland and Arsenal vs Crystal Palace.
Hull vs Everton (Friday 8.00)
Everton may have hit a bit of form of late, but their away win against a Leicester side that only looks to have Champions League dreams is still there only win in their last 7 away games. Meanwhile, Hull may look certainties for relegation but only Manchester City have beat them in their last 4 home games, including a draw and a victory against the two teams directly below Everton in the table – and I’d much sooner play the draw at 5/2 than Everton at even-money.
Draw @ 5/2 (Various Bookies)
Burnley vs Sunderland (Saturday 3.00)
The bookies aren’t really giving Burnley the credit they deserve for their recent home form of 5 wins in 7 games, a run which includes victories over Middlesbrough, Bournemouth, Crystal Palace, Everton and Watford, with their two defeats coming against Man City and Arsenal. Meanwhile, Sunderland may be fighting for their lives with 3 wins in their last 4 games at home, but they’ve still lost 6 of their last 7 away games.
Burnley @ 29/20 (William Hill)
Liverpool vs Manchester City (Saturday 5.30)
Both teams are still in contention for the title, and only 1 point separates them in second and third behind Chelsea. I don’t have a strong opinion about which one will come out on top on this occasion, but the knockout statistic is that the last 8 league games between the two teams has produced more than 2.5 goals. Meanwhile, 4 of Liverpool’s last 5 games have also produced more than 2.5 goals, as have 6 of Manchester City’s last 7 – and 4/6 looks a fair price for there to be more than 2.5 goals. If you don’t want to play at odds-on, then the 7/4 for more than 3.5 goals also looks value as 5 of the last 8 games between the pair would have landed that bet.
More than 2.5 goals @ 4/6 (Betbright)
Arsenal vs Crystal Palace (Sunday 4.00)
Arsenal haven’t dominated this fixture in recent seasons and, whilst it’s hard to tip Crystal Palace for getting anything from the game, it’s noticeable that both teams have scored in their last 4 meetings. Meanwhile, despite their poor form, Crystal Palace have still scored in 9 of their last 10 games, whilst Arsenal’s clean-sheet against West Brom was their first in 13 games in all competitions.