FA Cup Quarter-Finals Betting And Tips
Its FA Cup Quarter-Finals Weekend and, despite the conspiracy theorists banging their drums about none of the 8 Premier League teams drawing each other in the Last-16, only 6 of them reached the quarter-finals, and the FA Cup dreams of Millwall and Lincoln are still alive.
Middlesbrough vs Manchester City (Saturday 12.15)
City have won the FA Cup 5-times, with their latest win being in 2011. Meanwhile, Middlesbrough have reached the final just once, losing 2-0 to Chelsea in 1997. To Middlesbrough’s credit, they claimed a 1-1 draw at the Etihad earlier in the season, but their recent home-form against Premier League opposition leaves a lot to be desired, with 3 draws and a defeat to West Ham in their last 4 games yielding just 2 Middlesbrough goals. Compare that to City’s recent Premier League away-form of 6 straight wins with no goals conceded – and it’s hard to make any conclusion other than City to win to nil has to be the value.
Manchester City To Win To Nil @ 13/10 (Various Bookies)
Arsenal vs Lincoln (Saturday 5.30)
Statistically, Arsenal are easier to beat at home than Burnley this season, but surely Nationwide League leaders Lincoln can’t beat Arsenal. A pre-game Arsenal team check is probably required before placing any bets but, as I don’t have that advantage, and Arsenal only beat Sutton 2-0 in the last round, 10/3 for there to be less than 2.5 goals may offer a touch of value, with Arsene Wenger’s men unlikely to want to humiliate their non-league opposition.
Less Than 2.5 Goals @ 10/3 (Betstars)
Tottenham vs Millwall (Sunday 2.00)
Tottenham’s 12 wins and a draw in their last 13 games sets a formidable standard for Millwall to overcome. However, Millwall also come into this game on an incredible 17-game unbeaten streak. This may be a be a big step up for the League-One Side and, whilst a victory for Tottenham at odds of 1/6 is by far the most likely outcome, the 8/1 for a draw looks the only bet worth having.
Draw @ 8/1 (Bet365, William Hill)
Chelsea vs Manchester United (Monday 7.45)
The pair last met in the FA Cup in the 2006/7 season when Chelsea beat United in the final 1-0, however it had been United who have the best record, winning the 5 previous FA Cup clashes between 1987 and 1999. Chelsea have had much the better of their recent Premier League encounters though, winning 4 and drawing 1 of their last 5 home games, including thumping United 4-0 earlier in the season. They’ve also drawn 3 and won 1 of their last 4 games at Old Trafford, whilst Stamford Bridge remains a stronghold this season with Chelsea having won their last 12 home games in all competitions. Strictly, as 4 of the last 9 games between the two have been draws, you could argue that 11/4 for a draw is the value-bet, but Chelsea have had the upper-hand in recent years, and I’s sooner back them to continue that run.
Chelsea Win @ 20/23 (Boylesports)