The 2018 FA Cup will be won be one of the Premier League’s top-six clubs as Manchester United take on Chelsea. A victory for either would rescue seasons that have so far been disappointing, and also book them a spot in next season’s Community Shield against Manchester City.
Manchester United have won the FA Cup 12 times and Chelsea seven, with United winning it most recently in 2016. However, whilst that was only United second win this century, Chelsea have won it five times in that period, and have actually won four of the last 12 FA Cups.
Outright FA Cup Betting
United are just shading favouritism with most bookies but the odds suggest the bookies think the result could go anyway within 90 minutes, with Manchester United, Chelsea, and the draw all priced-up between 8/5 and 11/5. However, though United won the last match between the two teams, they have only won two of the last 10 matches, with Chelsea winning five, and three draws.
However, during those 10 games, six of which were played at Stamford Bridge and four at Old Trafford, no team managed an away win.
Of course, this match is being played at Wembley, which makes it trickier to pick the result, especially as Chelsea beat Tottenham here at Wembley in the Premier League and United beat Tottenham at Wembley in their FA Cup semi-final. Therefore, with so little to split the teams, the value-bet may well be the draw.
Full-Time Betting: Draw @ 3.10 Unibet, WilliamHill, Betway
Whatever the result at 90 minutes, there is a stronger argument for backing the FA Cup final to be a draw at half-time. That’s because nine of the last 13 matches between Chelsea and Manchester United have been a draw at half-time, including three of the last four matches. Eight of those matches have actually been 0-0 at half-time if you want to increase your odds.
Half-time Betting: Draw @ 2.00 Bet365
There has been the odd high-scoring match between Chelsea and Manchester United but, whilst neutrals would love to see another, seven of the last nine games between them have produced less than 2.5 goals.
Brave punters may want to go one goal lower at less than 1.5 goals, which would have landed the odds in four of those last nine games. 1-0 was also the score of the 2007 FA Cup Final between them, which Chelsea won 1-0.
Less Than 2.5 Goals @ 1.59 188Bet
Only three Chelsea or United players have scored twice against the other team in the last nine games and you’d do well to pick all three. Lingard is the only United player to have found the net twice against Chelsea, whilst Hazard and Kante have scored twice against United. Kante also scored the winner last time they met in the FA Cup, making him look a fun-price to score the first goal and/or to score at any anytime.
Kante To Score First @ 41.00 Unibet, PaddyPower
Kante To Score At Anytime @ 23.00 Unibet, 888Sport