French golfers have won three of the last ten renewals of the French Open, and there are lots of inform French players hoping to win their home Open this week.
Victor Dubuisson is the highest Frenchman in the world rankings at 22, and is improving all the time, yet his course form of 56/57/MC/18 is hardly compelling.
However, the 24-year-old former world number one amateur is a different animal since his win in last year’s Turkish Airlines Open. The early 33/1 has been hoovered up, but he still looks worth an investment at 28/1.
There are lots of established players with strong course form, and it’s likely a high-percentage of them will appear on the leaderboard at some point.
Those at the head of the market include Martin Kaymer (9/1) who has posted four top-7 finishes in seven attempts, including a victory, but I get the feeling The British Open in two weeks time will be the next time we’ll see him return to the focused performer that breezed through the US Open, and the 9/1 is easily passed over.
Meanwhile, Graeme McDowell (12/1) defends (never easy), whilst Francesco Molinari (18/1), who admittedly has twice been runner-up here, looks underpriced for his recent lack of achievements.
One player with course form who looks worth taking a chance on at a three-figure price is Eduardo De La Riva. His one appearance here resulted in a third-placed finish, his highest on the European Tour, but the reason for backing him is even more compelling when you dig deeper into his form. His best form this year so far was a seventh in the Lyoness Open, which was a repeat of his 2013 performance, and he’s also missed two successive cuts following that performance, as he has this year. The 110/1 is well worth chancing for lightning to strike twice for this accurate driver, a skill which is at a premium round this course.
The other two bets this week concern two old-campaigners, Richard Green and Anders Hansen, who find winning hard but have appeared on the French Open leaderboard on several occasions. Green has posted five top-7 finishes in nine years, two of which were top-5 finishes, whilst Hansen has posted four top-8 finishes in twelve years, two of which were top-5 finishes. Back them both top-5 and top-10.
Victor Dubuisson each-way 28/1
Eduardo De La Riva each-way 110/1
Richard Green top-5 12/1 and top-10 5/1
Anders Hansen top-5 8/1 and top-10 4/1
PGA Tour – Greenbriar Classic
The four-year history of the event has thrown up four surprise winners in Stuart Appleby, Scott Stallings, Ted Potter Jnr and Jonas Blixt, and all went off at big prices.
With that in mind, it may be worth chancing a few three-figure priced runners, and first up is Steve Bowditch (150/1). The Australian made his PGA Tour breakthrough in the Valero Texas Open in March, and last week’s 21st placed finish was his best since. He may just be returning to form for an event in which he finished runner-up last year and 18th in 2011.
Cameron Tringale is yet to win on the PGA Tour but the 26-year-old has posted ten top-10s in four seasons, and his turn may not be far away. Fourth in this in 2011, he joins the staking plan at 100/1.
Finally, Martin Flores has been showing consistently good form since the end of March, and boasts a sixth-placed finished in 2012. Snap up the 150/1 with Ladbrokes, whilst the 125/1 elsewhere is still worthy of an investment.
Steve Bowditch each-way 150/1
Cameron Tringale each-way 100/1
Martin Flores each-way 150/1