For many punters, the Premier League has a familiar early look to it with Manchester United, Manchester City and Chelsea already occupying the top of the table but, with Hull also on maximum points, it’s fair to say that the Premier League hasn’t quite settled into its natural rhythm yet after just two matches.
But that doesn’t mean we’re shying away from the challenge, and this week we’re recommending 4 value-bets, with tips for Spurs vs Liverpool, Everton vs Stoke, Leicester vs Swansea, and Manchester City vs West Ham.
Spurs vs Liverpool (Saturday 12.30)
Spurs have taken the expected 4 points from their opening 2 games and, though that only puts them in seventh place at this early stage, they may well be on for a similar season to last season. Meanwhile, Liverpool couldn’t have opened with two more contrasting games. Their excellent 4-3 win over Arsenal lit the fire of expectation, but they failed to convert any of their 20+ chances against Burnley, who in turn scored with both their shots. The last 5 renewals have produced two wins each and one draw making it a tough one to call but, with 4 of those 5 games producing 3 or more goals, the 13/16 for there to be more than 2.5 goals may offer some value.
More Than 2.5 Goals @ 13/16 (888Bet, Bet365)
Everton vs Stoke (Saturday 3.00)
Both teams have made their expected starts to the season, with Everton drawing at home to Spurs and winning away at West Brom, and Stoke losing to Manchester City but drawing away at Middlesborough – and that makes Everton look underpriced. Stoke have won 3 of the last 5 renewals, including the last 2, and 22/5 for a Stoke win is too big to resist.
Stoke To Win @ 22/5 (Betvictor)
Leicester vs Swansea (Saturday 3.00)
Leicester’s failure to score in their two opening games has to be a worry, but they should have beaten Hull, and a draw against Arsenal was better than they achieved last year when losing both games to the Gunners on their way to taking the title. This looks an ideal game for the Foxes to bounce back to winning ways – and the 4/5 looks generous considering they’ve won the last 5 renewals of this fixture.
Leicester To Win @ 4/5 (Paddy Power, William Hill)
Man City vs West Ham (Sunday 4pm)
Man City had won this fixture 9 times on the bounce before West Ham won it 2-1 last year, but the current West Ham side is definitely the best West Ham side in that period. They also held City to a draw at home last season, and came close to denying Chelsea a win in their opening fixture, before beating Bournemouth. I’m certainly not saying City can’t win – but I’d sooner be a layer at 1/3 than a backer.
Lay Man City at 1.34 (Betfair Exchange)