Carlisle Bell & Cumberland Plate Day Preview + Tips
Published on 25/06/19
The Carlisle Bell & Cumberland Plate Day (Wednesday 26 June) is Carlisle Racecourse’s biggest race fixture of the season. It is a famous day in the world of flat racing, as the winner of the Agma Stablemate Carlisle Bell Handicap is presented with the oldest horse racing trophy in the world – “The Bells”, which date back to 1599.
The trophy is one of the most revered on the Northern Racing circuit and top Northern trainers like David O’Meara, Richard Fahey, Tim Easterby, Mark Johnston, and Keith Dalgleish have all got their hands on it in recent years.
As the title of the race day suggests, the card also features the Cumberland Plate Handicap, whilst the biggest prize of the meeting is the Eternal Stakes, a Listed Race for fillies.
Check out our trends, analysis, and free tips for the Carlisle Bell & Cumberland Plate Day.
Carlisle Bell Handicap (3.30)
Eight of the last 10 winners of the Carlisle Bell have been aged four or five, with eight of the 10 winners also rated between 80 and 85. Seven of the last eight winners have been drawn in stall-six or higher, and all 10 winners had run in the 33 days prior to their success. The lowest priced winner in the last decade has been 6/1, with five winners returned at odds ranging from 12/1 to 25/1.
Roger Fell has two interesting runners in Club Wexford and Tadaawol. The former is on a hat-trick after two impressive wins on flat tracks, but you’re taking a chance that he handles the stiff Carlisle finish just as well. The course is definitely a plus for Tadaawol, who is two from two over course and distance, but he has generally looked just a shade below today’s class.
Tim Easterby also has two runners, with Brother McGonagall near the head of the market after winning at Beverley last time, but he’s 10lb higher here, a mark he’s not won off yet.
That’s why it could be worth taking a chance on Easterby’s other runner New Look. He’s still only a four-year-old and has been with his stable for just three runs since coming from France, where he was a winner over today’s trip and contested two much better class races over 10-furlongs afterwards. He was entitled to need his first run after 240 days off and connections have since run him twice over seven furlongs. He’s been dropped 8lb for those three runs and it is interesting with first-time cheek-pieces on back up in trip.
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New Look (4 Places Each-Way) @ 26.00 BetVictor, Bet365[/su_service]
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Cumberland Plate Handicap (4.00)
The Cumberland Plate Handicap has been won by horses as young as four and as old as 11 in the last 10 years, but all 10 horses were drawn in stall-four or higher. Five of the last six winners have been aged either 84 or 85 and all ran between four and 60 days earlier. Five winners had won their previous race, whilst Tim Easterby has trained the last two winners. Seven of the last 10 winners were returned at odds ranging from 9/4 to 8/1, with the other three returned at 10/1, 10/1, and 16/1.
Tim Easterby trains the only two course winners in this year’s field. Appointed won a novice race here in 2016 and won a handicap off a mark of 88 the following season. She was winless since then until taking advantage of a mark of 73 in a class five race last time. She steps back up in class off a 4lb higher mark this time, but is still feasibly handicapped on her old form.
The same remark applies to Easterby’s other runner Dance King, who won the 2017 edition of this race off a mark of 84. He’s since won off marks of 85 and 85 but runs here off 83 and it would be no surprise if he returns to form with this race being an obvious target for him.
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Dance King (4 Places Each-Way) @ 19.00 Betfair SB, PaddyPower[/su_service]
Eternal Stakes (4.30)
This Listed Race takes place over just short of seven furlongs and winners in the last 10 years have been drawn as low as stall-two and as high as stall-13. Only one winner had won its last race and only one has carried a penalty to success in the last decade. All winners had run between 8 and 53 days earlier, and the last 10 winners were returned at no bigger than 11/2.
The Northern stables of Dalgleish, Johnston, and O’Meara are all represented but this is a fascinating contest with big Southern stables like William Haggas, Sir Michael Stoute, Ed Walker, Mick Channon, Roger Varian, Richard Hannon, and Archie Watson all sending runners up. However, they may all have to give second best to the two top-rated Irish runners. Joseph O’Brien’s Cava is respected after running second in a Listed Race last time, but Viadera won a handicap off a mark of 100 last time and sets a high standard on that form.
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Viadera @ 4.00 BetVictor, Bet365[/su_service]
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