With just 6 points separating the top-6 teams, it will be interesting to see if Liverpool can maintain their current hot away form as they travel to Newcastle. We’ve got a tip for that match as well as tips for Stoke vs Manchester City, West Brom vs Spurs, and Swansea vs Leicester.
Stoke vs Manchester City (Saturday 12.45pm)
Manchester City may have won last year’s renewal 4-1, but the four renewals before that all ended in draws. City’s current away form isn’t exactly jumping off the page either as 0-0 draws against Aston Villa and Manchester United were preceded by a 4-1 defeat at Spurs. Meanwhile Stoke have been a mixed bag all season with home wins against Chelsea and Bournemouth sandwiched between a defeat by Watford and a draw against Leicester. The mixed form of both teams suggests the 4 draws in 5 renewals is the stat to concentrate on – and the draw looks the value play.
Draw @ 31/10 (BetVictor, Betfred)
Swansea vs Leicester (Saturday 3.00pm)
Both of last year’s encounters were won 2-0 by the home team, but their fortunes have certainly gone in different directions since. Swansea haven’t won at home since August, and since then have drawn three of their home games and lost two. Meanwhile Leicester have been rampant away from home against the bottom-half teams having beaten Newcastle, West Brom and Norwich recently. The world and his dog are waiting for Leicester’s wheels to fall off – but I’m willing to take the 7/4 that it isn’t today.
Leicester win @ 17/10 (Betfred)
WBA vs Spurs (Saturday 3.00pm)
West Brom’s recent home win over Arsenal can only boost confidence, but it’s going to need to as Spurs have won three of the last five renewals, with the other two being draws. Spurs are also undefeated in their last five way games, though three of those have been draws against Arsenal, Swansea and Leicester. It’s 10/11 for a Spurs win and 34/13 for a draw – and the latter again looks the value bet.
Draw @ 13/5 (Bet365, Betfred, Stan James)
Newcastle vs Liverpool (Sunday 4.00pm)
Liverpool may have only won this fixture once in the last five years, but it’s their recent away form under new manager Klopp that looks like the important statistic here. Liverpool have now won their last 4 away games in all competitions, scoring 14 goals in the process, and Newcastle look there for the taking.
Liverpool @ 5/8 (BetBright)