The BMW PGA Championship is the flagship event of the European Tour, though the Wentworth layout isn’t one that all players take an immediate liking to. Many winners have shown plenty of previous course form, though there’s also been some results that have left bookmakers laughing all the way to the bank, such as Scott Drummond and Andrew Oldcorn.
However, most recent winners have shown some recent course form, and that looks the way to go with this week’s betting strategy.
Shane Lowry 2 points each-way @ 16/1 (Bet365, Betfred) ¼ odds 6 places
The rotund Irishman has made no secret of how much he loves this course, and he possesses the perfect skill-set combination of power and a fantastic short game to conquer it. He’s already come close with event form figures of 4/68/12/2/6, meaning you’d have collected the each-way part of this bet 3 times in 5 years, and he’s fancied to go close again.
Byeong Hun An 1 point each-way (Coral, Hills) ¼ odds 5 places
Luke Donald, Colin Montgomerie and Nick Faldo have all won this back-to-back, and you just have to give Byeong Hun An a chance to do the same. He won by 7-shots on his first look at the course last year, so just think what he could do with a bit of experience under his belt.
Joost Luiten 1 point each-way @ 40/1 (Coral) ¼ odds 5 places
The Dutchman knows winning this would almost guarantee him a spot in this year’s Ryder Cup side and, having finished 12/11 here the last two years, he doesn’t need to improve much to make a serious challenge. He’s also in better form this year, having already posted two runner-up spots.
James Morrison 2 points top-10 finish @ 15/2 (Betvictor)
The Englishman has gone 10/MC/11 here the last 3 years and, having posted two top-10s in his last 4 events, he looks value to contend for another top-10 finish.
Mark Warren 2points top-10 finish @ 10 (Betvictor)
The Scot is very streaky but, when he’s on a hot streak, he’s more than capable of contending, even if he finds winning hard. It was tempting to put him up each-way at 100/1, but the 10/1 for a top-10 finish looks better value. He played extremely well in Ireland last week, and could be ready to contend at a venue where he’s finished 27/2/16/18 in the last 4 years.