It’s not the most exciting list of Premier League fixtures this weekend, especially with the Saturday lunchtime game being between out-of-form Chelsea and Liverpool. However I’m recommending one value bet in that match, and value bets for Swansea vs Arsenal, Everton vs Sunderland, and Spurs vs Villa.
Chelsea vs Liverpool (Saturday 12.45)
Pre-season, the odds on Chelsea being 13th and Liverpool 9th after 10 games would probably have been bigger than anything you can get in this match – and the form of both teams is a conundrum to say the least. The last four renewals have resulted in one win each, and two draws (both 1-1). Amazingly Liverpool have also drawn 7 of their last 10 games 1-1, whilst Chelsea have also drawn 3 of their last 7 games (though admittedly not 1-1). It’s 13/2 for a 1-1 score-line here, and that’s the only compelling angle I can find.
Correct Score 1-1 @ 13/2 (BetVictor)
Swansea vs Arsenal (Saturday 3.00)
Arsenal bid for a 5th straight away win in the Premier League, and confidence is high after their recent victories over Manchester United and Bayern Munich. They could easily win, but the 8/11 doesn’t look a value punt. Swansea haven’t got a bad home record with 2 wins and 2 draws from 5 games so far this season, and they’ve also won 2 of the last 4 renewals of this fixture – making the 17/4 look a fair price to cause an upset.
Swansea @ 17/4 (Boylesports)
Everton vs Sunderland (Sunday 1.30)
The bookies may just have underestimated the “Big Sam” factor this week as Sunderland travel to Goodison Park, a place they’ve won at on their last two visits. After masterminding a 3-0 win over Newcastle in only his second game in charge, Big Sam is already popular with Sunderland fans and players alike, and his style of management may soon have Sunderland out of the relegation danger zone – making the 13/2 for a Sunderland win look way too big.
Sunderland @ 13/2 (Bet365, Betfred, BetVictor, Paddy Power)
Spurs vs Villa
Despite winning this fixture last year, Villa aren’t propping up the Premier League for nothing. Spurs won the three previous renewals to nil and, after keeping 3 clean sheets in their last 4 home games, the 11/8 for them to win to nil here looks a decent bet.
Spurs to win to nil @ 11/8 (Skybet)