Monday night’s Premier League match between Wolves and Man City is the type of game that makes you want to stay in and watch Sky Sports whether there’s a Covid-19 lockdown or not. Pep Guardiola will have been hoping to avoid this potential banana skin so early in the season, while Nuno Santos will see it as a chance to elevate people’s opinions of Wolves even higher.
The bookies rarely take any chances with Man City and there will be plenty of punters that are happy to take 4/7 (1.56) about a Man City win. It’s then 7/2 for a draw and as big as 11/2 for a Wolves win. With Wolves not having the pressure of playing in Europe this season, it’s tempting to lay City in their opening game, but the big odds about a Wolves win makes that bet our Wolves vs Man City tip.
Wolves were clinical for most of their opening game against Sheffield United, scoring two goals in the opening six minutes. They then limited Sheffield United to just two shots on target, be it that the woodwork helped them keep a clean sheet.
It’s also hard to know quite how Man City will play this season. They have a vast squad of talented players, and they were odds-on to win the title pre-season. But David Silva has often been the glue that held them all together and he’s gone. That means they may be at their most vulnerable early on and Nuno Santos is a man who will definitely have a plan to beat them
The available odds also suggest that Man City have dominated Wolves since they returned to the Premier League two seasons ago, but that isn’t the case. Wolves held City to a draw at Molineux in their first season back and, though they lost 3-0 at the Etihad that season, they changed things around dramatically last season.
Wolves returned to the Etihad in October to win two-nil. But it was their 3-2 home win in December that marked Santos down as manager with great tactical awareness. Trailing 2-0 after 50-minutes, Santos changed tactics and was rewarded with a rallying 3-2 win.
That all makes the 11/2 about a Wolves win look way too big and, though Man City can never be ruled out, a Wolves win is our value tip for Wolves vs Man City.
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