Sunday’s West Ham vs Aston Villa is one of three matches that will decide which two teams are relegated alongside Norwich. Aston Villa are the team that are currently safe, but they can take nothing for granted as both Watford and Bournemouth can overtake them.
Anything but defeat for Villa will doom Bournemouth to the dreaded drop, but even victory for Villa won’t guarantee their survival as they head Watford by a superior goal difference of just one. It’s hard to know how West Ham will play, as they’re in fine form, but they may well have had a small celebration after their draw with Manchester United secured their survival.
That means the result may be dictated more by Aston Villa’s style of play, which has produced mainly low-scoring matches of late. That’s why less than 2.5 goals is our West Ham vs Aston Villa tip.
West Ham have played in their fair share of high-scoring games of late, but two of their last four games have produces less than 2.5 goals. Their defence has also been solid, conceding no more than one goal in any of their last four games.
Aston Villa have also hit form in the nick of time to give themselves a chance of surviving, with 1-0 and 2-0 wins over Arsenal and Crystal Palace sandwiching a 1-1 draw at Everton.
Recent West Ham vs Aston Villa head-to-heads have also been tight games, with the last five ending 0-0, 2-0, 1-1, 1-0, and 0-0.
That all suggests there’s a good chance that this will be a game that produces less than 2.5 goals. The good news is the bookies disagree, and odds of 5/4 (2.25) look generous.
28/09/2020 | Football - Premier League
Both Teams To Score (Yes)
1pt Win @ 1.68 Unibet, Betway
27/09/2020 | Football - Premier League
Over 2.5 Goals
1pt Win @ 2.05 BetVictor, BoyleSports
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