Wales climbed to the top of the UEFA Nations League Group B4 with a win in Finland and Ryan Giggs’ team will be looking to stay there when they host Bulgaria on Sunday evening (September 6). The victory over Finland wasn’t the most entertaining win ever, with Gareth Bale doing little before being taken off at half-time, but the 23rd best team in the world did enough to suggest that the 59th team shouldn’t cause them any problems.
The Welsh defence was stubborn and, though Bulgaria grabbed a rare goal against the Republic of Ireland, Wales to win to nil is our Wales vs Bulgaria tip. 1.50 (1/2) was the best price available about a Wales win at the time of writing, but odds-against for Wales to win to nil appeals much more than the 3/1 for a draw or 6/1 for a win for Bulgaria.
Wales’ clean sheet in Finland was their third on the trot and their fifth in their last eight matches. With Bale nowhere near his best, Giggs also looks sure to protect his defence with the presence of some defensive midfielders, while hoping Kieffer Moore can add to his tally of three goals in eight internationals. Manchester United winger Daniel James also has the talent to get on the scoresheet.
Despite their 1-1 draw against the Republic of Ireland, Bulgaria have also been struggling for goals of late. A run of just one goal in five games before the ROI match started with a 0-0 draw against Macedonia, before England beat them 6-0 at home. A shock win over a below-standard Czech Republic team was then sandwiched between 1-0 home defeats against Paraguay and Belarus.
That’s enough evidence to suggest that a Wales win to nil is excellent value at odd-against, which is why it’s our tip for Wales vs Bulgaria.
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