St Leger Prediction [12/09/2020] | Betting Gods
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St Leger Prediction [12/09/2020] <

St Leger Prediction [12/09/2020]

Prediction

Our Tip for 15:35 Doncaster

Santiago

1pt Win @ 4.00 Bet365, William Hill

Analysis

England’s oldest Classic the St Leger is the highlight of the final day of Doncaster’s St Leger Festival on Saturday 12 September. Run over 1 mile 6 furlongs and 115 yards, it is the longest of the five Classics, and this year it has attracted a field of 12 runners.

The first St Leger statistic that catches the eye is all the winners this century had run at least three times in the same season before their victory. That suggests the once-raced maiden winner Tyson is up against it, though that win did come at Doncaster.

Mythical Heights has only run twice, and his form also suggests he’s not good enough. But the well-fancied Hukum has also only run twice. He does have untapped potential after two stylish wins in a handicap at Royal Ascot and a Group 3, but the bare form leaves him with a bit to find with the other market leaders.

The other three English runners are interesting, one of which is English King who won the Lingfield Derby Trial in excellent fashion on his first start this season. He’s subsequently been beaten when favourite for the Derby and at Glorious Goodwood, but it would be no surprise if he enjoyed this test.

Berkshire Rocco finished second to English King at Lingfield and followed that with an excellent second over 14-furlongs at Royal Ascot. He should relish the St Leger trip after finishing fourth over a shorter trip last time. But he was beaten 4-lengths behind the re-opposing Pyledriver.

The win of Pyledriver in the Great Voltigeur at York is the best piece of form on offer, as he gave weight and a beating to Berkshire Rocco. It would be great if he could provide a fairytale win for his trainer William Muir, but his stamina isn’t guaranteed.

Five Irish challengers complete the field, but Sunchart looks up against it. Galileo Chrome has potential for Joseph O’Brien, but it’s his dad Aidan O’Brien that has won three of the last seven St Legers. Mythical and Dawn Patrol don’t look good enough but they look sure to make the race a true test to suit stable number one Santiago.

Santiago is our St Leger tip. Frankie Dettori has been booked to ride in the absence of a John Gosden runner and that looks a shrewd move by Aidan O’Brien. Dettori’s quiet style should be perfect for a horse whose stamina is guaranteed and likes to be delivered late, and Santiago should relish having the full length of the Town Moor straight to hit top gear.



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