Scottish Open Prediction (01/10/2020) | Betting Gods
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Scottish Open Prediction (01/10/2020) <

Scottish Open Prediction (01/10/2020)

Prediction

Our Tip for Scottish Open (1st - 4th Oct)

Romain Langasque

1pt Each Way @ 36.00 SkyBet, Boylesports (8 places)

Analysis

The Scottish Open returns to the Renaissance Club in North Berwick in 2020, which also hosted the 2010 edition. The course is a par-71 measuring over 7,300 yards. One thing that was noticeable about last year’s leaderboard is that the top of it featured lots of players that hadn’t previously played well in a Scottish Open, so it could be that last year’s leaderboard proves a decent pointer to success.

The field for the 2020 Scottish Open looks weaker than last year’s, when world-class players such as Rory McIlroy, Justin Thomas, and Tyrell Hatton played okay without ever threatening to win. That trio are absent this year, which means the bookies have made Tommy Fleetwood their unanimous favourite. He may take to the course straight away but, at single-figure odds in many places, I can pass.

Second favourite Matt Fitzpatrick makes a little more appeal, but the early 14/1 has all gone and the best prices is now 12/1. He was 14th last year, when shooting rounds of 65, 77, 85, and 68, which left him five shots behind the leaders.

But seven of the players that beat Fitzpatrick return this year and all are bigger prices. That includes last year’s champion Bernd Wiesberger, who is 25/1, though defending a title is never easy.

If you’re looking to back players at three-figure prices this week, Andrea Pavan (300/1) and Nino Bertasio (250/1) both landed each-way money last year. But both are difficult to recommend on their current form.

George Coetzee shot -18 last year and the South African showed sparkling form figures of 2/1/1/3 prior to a poor showing last week. 40/1 could be a good price if that was a temporary blip, but you run the risk of fatigue as this is his sixth week in a row playing.

By contrast, Andrew ‘Beef’ Johnston has missed the last five weeks, but he was playing some decent form before that break. If he’s not rusty this week, 50/1 is tempting about a player that was fourth last season.

Benjamin Herbert lost in a play-off last season and, though he’s missed his last two cuts, he was third prior to those performances. He missed last week’s Irish Open and he could easily contend again this week at 50/1.

But I just prefer his fellow Frenchman Romain Langasque, who is also a long shot this week. He finished two shots behind the leaders last year in third last year but comes into this year’s event with the new confidence of being a recent European Tour winner.



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