Scarbrough Stakes Prediction [09/09/2020] | Betting Gods
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Scarbrough Stakes Prediction [09/09/2020] <

Scarbrough Stakes Prediction [09/09/2020]

Prediction

Our Tip for 14:10 Doncaster

Rocket Action

1pt Each Way @ 15.00 Betfair Sportsbook, Paddy Power

Analysis

The 2020 Scarbrough Stakes takes place on Wednesday 9 September at Doncaster Racecourse. This Listed race is one of the highlights of the first day of the 2020 St Leger Festival, which is known as Leger Legends Wednesday.

The race is open to horses aged two or older but, though 2-year-olds have hit the frame, none have won any of the 20 editions run this century. That’s a big negative for Acklam Express and Country Carnival.

The longest break between races any of those 20 winners has overcome is 121 days, so Wise Words also has it all to do after a year off the track. His rating of 94 also suggests he’ll have needed to have improved at least 14lb since he last ran.

Sole Power won the 2012 edition for Ireland, and Urban Beat makes the journey over this year. The booking of Frankie Dettori catches the eye for a horse that has every chance on ratings, but he’s gone 11 races without winning, six of which have been Listed races.

I’m also happy to take on Dakota Gold, despite this being his time of year. He ran great at York last week but hasn’t run up to his best on three previous visits to Doncaster.

Makanah is a course winner here at Doncaster, but that came in a handicap off a mark of just 75. He was beaten on his next visit in a handicap off 97 and, despite now being rated 104, he was easily beaten by Dakota Gold when they clashed at Beverley.

Tarboosh also ran in that race at Beverley, finishing one place behind Makanah in fifth. He does have a decent record at Doncaster, but his overall form suggests he has something to find with a few of his rivals on these terms.

Moss Gill is the horse that’s improving fast, but Tarboosh finished closer to him that he did to Dakota Gold. The James Bethell-trained 4-year-old did win his only course and distance race but that was just a novice race for which he was sent off at 1/4 (1.25).

With doubts about plenty of the runners, Rocket Action is our Scarbrough Stakes tip. Trainer Robert Cowell has won three of the last 10 editions of this race and has struck with 4 of his last 10 runners over 5-furlongs. He ran Dakota Gold close at Sandown earlier this season (now 3lb better off) and, having gone close in a Listed Race in France last time, he looks the each-way value.

 



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