Newcastle host Man City in the FA Cup quarterfinals on Sunday (June 28) and the 1/5 on offer for a Man City win in 90-minutes suggests the bookies think they will progress to the semi-finals with ease. But City haven’t found their trips to St James’s Park easy in recent seasons, winning just one of their last four.
That means there will be lots of punters willing to lay Man City at Short odds, and it’s easy to make a case for the draw being a value bet at around 7/1, with two of the last four matches between them at St James’s Park being drawn. But our best bet for Newcastle vs Manchester City is for both teams to score, which is a generous odds-against with some bookies.
Despite the fact Man City kept a couple of clean sheets against Arsenal and Burnley in their first two games after the Covid-19 suspension, Chelsea showed that it’s possible to get at City’s defence in their 2-1 win in midweek.
Newcastle have also made a habit of scoring against Man City in recent seasons, scoring in six of their last seven against Pep Guardiola’s team. They scored two goals in their Premier League match against Man City at St James’s Park earlier this season, equalizing twice to earn a 2-2 draw.
Newcastle have also found their shooting boots of late and have scored in their last four games. Newcastle’s confidence will also be high, as that goalscoring run has also coincided with them winning three and drawing one of those matches.
That all suggests that odds-against for both teams to score is a value bet.
21/09/2020 | Football - Premier League
1pt Win @ 6.50 BoyleSports, Unibet
20/09/2020 | Football - Premier League
Over 3.5 Goals
1pt Win @ 2.55 BetVictor, SportNation
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