Tuesday night’s Inter Milan vs Napoli match could be a crucial one for Inter who currently sit second in Serie A with just two games to go. They head Atlanta and Lazio by just one point, so it will be interesting to see if they can make the most of home advantage against a team that they have enjoyed mixed results against this season.
Napoli won’t be rolling over, as they can still leapfrog AC Milan and, possibly, even Roma, which is why Napoli could try and shut up shop and hit Inter on the break. That’s why our tip is for there to be less than 2.5 goals.
Inter Milan have scored 21 goals in eight games during July but, despite big wins against teams such as Brescia and Spal, they haven’t always convinced at home. They lost 1-2 to Bologna and Fiorentina showed that it’s possible to frustrate Inter by securing a 0-0 draw in Inter’s last home game.
Napoli have also been a bit hit and miss on their travels recently, winning just one of their last four away games, while losing to Parma and Atlanta. They also lost 1-3 at home to Inter Milan earlier in the season.
But it’s the two-legged Coppa Italia tie between the two sides that suggests Napoli will come here looking to try and frustrate Inter and hope to snatch a goal on the break. Those tactics earned them a surprise 0-1 win back in February, while they drew 1-1 in the return leg to win the tie. What was most impressive there was Inter scored in the second minute but failed to score a second goal.
Six of the last eight games between the two sides have also produced less than 2.5 goals, suggesting the bookies may be being generous by offering odds against that there are less than 2.5 goals on Tuesday night.
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1pt Win @ 2.75 William Hill, Unibet
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Over 3.5 Goals
1pt Win @ 2.63 Unibet, 888Sport
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